PAGASA's official 5-day outlook and 5:00 AM public weather forecast for Port Area, Metro Manila—the resolution source—project a maximum temperature of 36°C on May 8, 2026, under easterlies fostering partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms and a mere 10% rain chance. Current observations at 2:00 PM register 34°C, aligning with the expected mid-afternoon peak amid typical May dry-season solar heating and light winds. This scientific consensus from PAGASA models and climatological baselines, where Manila highs average 33–36°C this month, underpins traders' near-unanimous positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected prolonged clear skies boosting insolation to 37°C or higher, though low-probability given forecast stability and possible brief showers; final daily measurement will confirm.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Manila on May 8?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 8?
36°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$39,204 거래량
$39,204 거래량
2026.05.08
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$39,204 거래량
$39,204 거래량
2026.05.08
30°C or below
$3,501 거래량
No
31°C
$1,995 거래량
No
32°C
$1,997 거래량
No
33°C
$3,696 거래량
No
34°C
$5,595 거래량
No
35°C
$1,586 거래량
No
36°C
$5,787 거래량
Yes
37°C
$5,580 거래량
No
38°C
$3,914 거래량
No
39°C
$2,747 거래량
No
40°C or higher
$2,806 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's official 5-day outlook and 5:00 AM public weather forecast for Port Area, Metro Manila—the resolution source—project a maximum temperature of 36°C on May 8, 2026, under easterlies fostering partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms and a mere 10% rain chance. Current observations at 2:00 PM register 34°C, aligning with the expected mid-afternoon peak amid typical May dry-season solar heating and light winds. This scientific consensus from PAGASA models and climatological baselines, where Manila highs average 33–36°C this month, underpins traders' near-unanimous positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected prolonged clear skies boosting insolation to 37°C or higher, though low-probability given forecast stability and possible brief showers; final daily measurement will confirm.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 6, 2026, 12:48 AM ET
거래량
$39,204종료일
2026.05.08마켓 개설일
May 6, 2026, 12:48 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's official 5-day outlook and 5:00 AM public weather forecast for Port Area, Metro Manila—the resolution source—project a maximum temperature of 36°C on May 8, 2026, under easterlies fostering partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms and a mere 10% rain chance. Current observations at 2:00 PM register 34°C, aligning with the expected mid-afternoon peak amid typical May dry-season solar heating and light winds. This scientific consensus from PAGASA models and climatological baselines, where Manila highs average 33–36°C this month, underpins traders' near-unanimous positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected prolonged clear skies boosting insolation to 37°C or higher, though low-probability given forecast stability and possible brief showers; final daily measurement will confirm.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$39,204종료일
2026.05.08마켓 개설일
May 6, 2026, 12:48 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
PAGASA's official 5-day outlook and 5:00 AM public weather forecast for Port Area, Metro Manila—the resolution source—project a maximum temperature of 36°C on May 8, 2026, under easterlies fostering partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms and a mere 10% rain chance. Current observations at 2:00 PM register 34°C, aligning with the expected mid-afternoon peak amid typical May dry-season solar heating and light winds. This scientific consensus from PAGASA models and climatological baselines, where Manila highs average 33–36°C this month, underpins traders' near-unanimous positioning. Realistic challenges include unexpected prolonged clear skies boosting insolation to 37°C or higher, though low-probability given forecast stability and possible brief showers; final daily measurement will confirm.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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