Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 37°C as Manila's highest temperature on May 9, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by finalized observations from the Ninoy Aquino International Airport (NAIA) station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—recording a peak of exactly 37°C in the late afternoon. PAGASA automated data corroborates this, with nearby Science Garden in Quezon City hitting 36°C amid urban heat island effects amplifying airport readings. Persistent easterlies during the dry season peak, combined with minimal cloud cover and no convective cooling, aligned with pre-day forecasts anticipating highs near 36°C. With the day concluded and measurements rounded to whole degrees Celsius, only an improbable post-finalization revision—disregarded by market rules—could shift this observational certainty.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Manila on May 9?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 9?
37°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$38,253 거래량
$38,253 거래량
2026.05.09
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
37°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$38,253 거래량
$38,253 거래량
2026.05.09
30°C or below
$938 거래량
No
31°C
$2,803 거래량
No
32°C
$3,296 거래량
No
33°C
$4,759 거래량
No
34°C
$4,837 거래량
No
35°C
$4,314 거래량
No
36°C
$3,987 거래량
No
37°C
$5,877 거래량
Yes
38°C
$3,428 거래량
No
39°C
$2,298 거래량
No
40°C or higher
$1,716 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 37°C as Manila's highest temperature on May 9, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by finalized observations from the Ninoy Aquino International Airport (NAIA) station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—recording a peak of exactly 37°C in the late afternoon. PAGASA automated data corroborates this, with nearby Science Garden in Quezon City hitting 36°C amid urban heat island effects amplifying airport readings. Persistent easterlies during the dry season peak, combined with minimal cloud cover and no convective cooling, aligned with pre-day forecasts anticipating highs near 36°C. With the day concluded and measurements rounded to whole degrees Celsius, only an improbable post-finalization revision—disregarded by market rules—could shift this observational certainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
거래량
$38,253종료일
2026.05.09마켓 개설일
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 37°C as Manila's highest temperature on May 9, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by finalized observations from the Ninoy Aquino International Airport (NAIA) station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—recording a peak of exactly 37°C in the late afternoon. PAGASA automated data corroborates this, with nearby Science Garden in Quezon City hitting 36°C amid urban heat island effects amplifying airport readings. Persistent easterlies during the dry season peak, combined with minimal cloud cover and no convective cooling, aligned with pre-day forecasts anticipating highs near 36°C. With the day concluded and measurements rounded to whole degrees Celsius, only an improbable post-finalization revision—disregarded by market rules—could shift this observational certainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$38,253종료일
2026.05.09마켓 개설일
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 37°C as Manila's highest temperature on May 9, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by finalized observations from the Ninoy Aquino International Airport (NAIA) station—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—recording a peak of exactly 37°C in the late afternoon. PAGASA automated data corroborates this, with nearby Science Garden in Quezon City hitting 36°C amid urban heat island effects amplifying airport readings. Persistent easterlies during the dry season peak, combined with minimal cloud cover and no convective cooling, aligned with pre-day forecasts anticipating highs near 36°C. With the day concluded and measurements rounded to whole degrees Celsius, only an improbable post-finalization revision—disregarded by market rules—could shift this observational certainty.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문