Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and supporting global models show tight clustering around a 30°C daytime peak for Milan on June 1, establishing the strong scientific basis for the market's near-certain positioning on that threshold. June climatology in northern Italy typically features highs near 26–28°C early in the month under transitional spring-to-summer conditions, with this event aligning closely to model consensus on subsidence and reduced cloud cover that favor modest warming. Official observations from regional meteorological networks confirm the realized maximum reached exactly this level. Minor forecast adjustments or localized microclimate variations could have altered the outcome only if models diverged substantially, which did not occur in the final runs.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Milan on June 1?
30°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$45,160 거래량
$45,160 거래량
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$45,160 거래량
$45,160 거래량
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: May 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and supporting global models show tight clustering around a 30°C daytime peak for Milan on June 1, establishing the strong scientific basis for the market's near-certain positioning on that threshold. June climatology in northern Italy typically features highs near 26–28°C early in the month under transitional spring-to-summer conditions, with this event aligning closely to model consensus on subsidence and reduced cloud cover that favor modest warming. Official observations from regional meteorological networks confirm the realized maximum reached exactly this level. Minor forecast adjustments or localized microclimate variations could have altered the outcome only if models diverged substantially, which did not occur in the final runs.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트

외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문