Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a NYC high of 64-65°F (42.5% implied probability), driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts converging tightly on mid-60s peaks for April 18, aligning closely with the climatological normal of 63°F from NOAA's 1991-2020 Central Park records. This positioning reflects spring-like upper-level ridging over the Northeast, promoting mild advection of warm air masses, tempered by potential diurnal sea-breeze development along the coastal urban corridor that could cap intensities. Lower odds for adjacent bins like 62-63°F (22%) account for minor model spread and possible low-level cloud intrusions; real-time National Weather Service observations from Central Park will provide hourly refinements through afternoon peak heating around 2-4 PM EDT, with resolution based on the official daily maximum.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트4월 18일에 뉴욕에서 가장 높은 온도를 기록하셨나요?
4월 18일에 뉴욕에서 가장 높은 온도를 기록하셨나요?
64-65°F 43%
62-63°F 22%
66-67°F 18%
68-69°F 8.1%
신규
$62,575 거래량
신규
$62,575 거래량
2026.04.18
53°F or below
<1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
7%
62-63°F
22%
64-65°F
43%
66-67°F
18%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
1%
72°F or higher
3%
64-65°F 43%
62-63°F 22%
66-67°F 18%
68-69°F 8.1%
신규
$62,575 거래량
신규
$62,575 거래량
2026.04.18
53°F or below
$9,471 거래량
<1%
54-55°F
$4,709 거래량
1%
56-57°F
$7,093 거래량
2%
58-59°F
$4,329 거래량
2%
60-61°F
$5,787 거래량
7%
62-63°F
$5,094 거래량
22%
64-65°F
$3,651 거래량
43%
66-67°F
$3,071 거래량
18%
68-69°F
$6,015 거래량
8%
70-71°F
$7,382 거래량
1%
72°F or higher
$7,422 거래량
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a NYC high of 64-65°F (42.5% implied probability), driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts converging tightly on mid-60s peaks for April 18, aligning closely with the climatological normal of 63°F from NOAA's 1991-2020 Central Park records. This positioning reflects spring-like upper-level ridging over the Northeast, promoting mild advection of warm air masses, tempered by potential diurnal sea-breeze development along the coastal urban corridor that could cap intensities. Lower odds for adjacent bins like 62-63°F (22%) account for minor model spread and possible low-level cloud intrusions; real-time National Weather Service observations from Central Park will provide hourly refinements through afternoon peak heating around 2-4 PM EDT, with resolution based on the official daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
거래량
$62,575종료일
2026.04.18마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a NYC high of 64-65°F (42.5% implied probability), driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts converging tightly on mid-60s peaks for April 18, aligning closely with the climatological normal of 63°F from NOAA's 1991-2020 Central Park records. This positioning reflects spring-like upper-level ridging over the Northeast, promoting mild advection of warm air masses, tempered by potential diurnal sea-breeze development along the coastal urban corridor that could cap intensities. Lower odds for adjacent bins like 62-63°F (22%) account for minor model spread and possible low-level cloud intrusions; real-time National Weather Service observations from Central Park will provide hourly refinements through afternoon peak heating around 2-4 PM EDT, with resolution based on the official daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$62,575종료일
2026.04.18마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a NYC high of 64-65°F (42.5% implied probability), driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts converging tightly on mid-60s peaks for April 18, aligning closely with the climatological normal of 63°F from NOAA's 1991-2020 Central Park records. This positioning reflects spring-like upper-level ridging over the Northeast, promoting mild advection of warm air masses, tempered by potential diurnal sea-breeze development along the coastal urban corridor that could cap intensities. Lower odds for adjacent bins like 62-63°F (22%) account for minor model spread and possible low-level cloud intrusions; real-time National Weather Service observations from Central Park will provide hourly refinements through afternoon peak heating around 2-4 PM EDT, with resolution based on the official daily maximum.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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