Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park KNYC station confirm a maximum temperature of 61°F on April 18, 2026, recorded at 2:51 PM and 5:51 PM via Automated Surface Observing System data, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for the 60-61°F outcome as traders anchor to verified measurements. This followed a mid-April heat wave peaking at 90°F on the 15th, when a passing frontal boundary introduced cooler maritime air, persistent cloud cover, mist, and fog that suppressed daytime heating despite light winds. Historical April averages hover around 60°F, aligning with this moderation. Resolution awaits final NWS daily climate summary, though challenges like rare sensor recalibrations or data discrepancies are improbable given consistent hourly logs.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in NYC on April 18?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 18?
60-61°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$439,098 거래량
$439,098 거래량
2026.04.18
53°F or below
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
Yes
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72°F or higher
No
60-61°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$439,098 거래량
$439,098 거래량
2026.04.18
53°F or below
$12,480 거래량
No
54-55°F
$36,626 거래량
No
56-57°F
$67,655 거래량
No
58-59°F
$69,751 거래량
No
60-61°F
$87,629 거래량
Yes
62-63°F
$43,117 거래량
No
64-65°F
$43,390 거래량
No
66-67°F
$24,041 거래량
No
68-69°F
$20,666 거래량
No
70-71°F
$16,390 거래량
No
72°F or higher
$17,354 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park KNYC station confirm a maximum temperature of 61°F on April 18, 2026, recorded at 2:51 PM and 5:51 PM via Automated Surface Observing System data, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for the 60-61°F outcome as traders anchor to verified measurements. This followed a mid-April heat wave peaking at 90°F on the 15th, when a passing frontal boundary introduced cooler maritime air, persistent cloud cover, mist, and fog that suppressed daytime heating despite light winds. Historical April averages hover around 60°F, aligning with this moderation. Resolution awaits final NWS daily climate summary, though challenges like rare sensor recalibrations or data discrepancies are improbable given consistent hourly logs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
거래량
$439,098종료일
2026.04.18마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park KNYC station confirm a maximum temperature of 61°F on April 18, 2026, recorded at 2:51 PM and 5:51 PM via Automated Surface Observing System data, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for the 60-61°F outcome as traders anchor to verified measurements. This followed a mid-April heat wave peaking at 90°F on the 15th, when a passing frontal boundary introduced cooler maritime air, persistent cloud cover, mist, and fog that suppressed daytime heating despite light winds. Historical April averages hover around 60°F, aligning with this moderation. Resolution awaits final NWS daily climate summary, though challenges like rare sensor recalibrations or data discrepancies are improbable given consistent hourly logs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$439,098종료일
2026.04.18마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park KNYC station confirm a maximum temperature of 61°F on April 18, 2026, recorded at 2:51 PM and 5:51 PM via Automated Surface Observing System data, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for the 60-61°F outcome as traders anchor to verified measurements. This followed a mid-April heat wave peaking at 90°F on the 15th, when a passing frontal boundary introduced cooler maritime air, persistent cloud cover, mist, and fog that suppressed daytime heating despite light winds. Historical April averages hover around 60°F, aligning with this moderation. Resolution awaits final NWS daily climate summary, though challenges like rare sensor recalibrations or data discrepancies are improbable given consistent hourly logs.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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