Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 60-61°F at 100% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature on April 29, 2026, backed by official National Weather Service observations at Central Park's ASOS station (KNYC), where readings peaked at 61°F around 10:51 a.m. before easing into the upper 50s amid persistent cloud cover, cool mid-level air from a passing frontal boundary, and light winds—well below the April 29 climatological normal of 67°F. Preceding forecast models from NOAA consistently projected subdued highs in the low 60s due to overcast skies and an influx of cooler Canadian air mass, with no notable deviations in real-time data. While final monthly climatological reports could theoretically revise preliminary maxima via quality control, such adjustments are exceedingly rare for settled daily records, solidifying the outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in NYC on April 29?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 29?
60-61°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$202,558 거래량
$202,558 거래량
2026.04.29
53°F or below
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
Yes
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72°F or higher
No
60-61°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$202,558 거래량
$202,558 거래량
2026.04.29
53°F or below
$11,704 거래량
No
54-55°F
$19,165 거래량
No
56-57°F
$11,268 거래량
No
58-59°F
$54,874 거래량
No
60-61°F
$33,495 거래량
Yes
62-63°F
$19,029 거래량
No
64-65°F
$21,591 거래량
No
66-67°F
$9,039 거래량
No
68-69°F
$6,904 거래량
No
70-71°F
$6,730 거래량
No
72°F or higher
$8,758 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 60-61°F at 100% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature on April 29, 2026, backed by official National Weather Service observations at Central Park's ASOS station (KNYC), where readings peaked at 61°F around 10:51 a.m. before easing into the upper 50s amid persistent cloud cover, cool mid-level air from a passing frontal boundary, and light winds—well below the April 29 climatological normal of 67°F. Preceding forecast models from NOAA consistently projected subdued highs in the low 60s due to overcast skies and an influx of cooler Canadian air mass, with no notable deviations in real-time data. While final monthly climatological reports could theoretically revise preliminary maxima via quality control, such adjustments are exceedingly rare for settled daily records, solidifying the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 27, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
거래량
$202,558종료일
2026.04.29마켓 개설일
Apr 27, 2026, 12:06 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 60-61°F at 100% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature on April 29, 2026, backed by official National Weather Service observations at Central Park's ASOS station (KNYC), where readings peaked at 61°F around 10:51 a.m. before easing into the upper 50s amid persistent cloud cover, cool mid-level air from a passing frontal boundary, and light winds—well below the April 29 climatological normal of 67°F. Preceding forecast models from NOAA consistently projected subdued highs in the low 60s due to overcast skies and an influx of cooler Canadian air mass, with no notable deviations in real-time data. While final monthly climatological reports could theoretically revise preliminary maxima via quality control, such adjustments are exceedingly rare for settled daily records, solidifying the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$202,558종료일
2026.04.29마켓 개설일
Apr 27, 2026, 12:06 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 60-61°F at 100% implied probability for New York City's highest temperature on April 29, 2026, backed by official National Weather Service observations at Central Park's ASOS station (KNYC), where readings peaked at 61°F around 10:51 a.m. before easing into the upper 50s amid persistent cloud cover, cool mid-level air from a passing frontal boundary, and light winds—well below the April 29 climatological normal of 67°F. Preceding forecast models from NOAA consistently projected subdued highs in the low 60s due to overcast skies and an influx of cooler Canadian air mass, with no notable deviations in real-time data. While final monthly climatological reports could theoretically revise preliminary maxima via quality control, such adjustments are exceedingly rare for settled daily records, solidifying the outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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