Official temperature observations from New York City stations, including LaGuardia Airport, recorded a daily high of 82–86°F on May 19, 2026, well below the 95°F threshold and consistent with National Weather Service data. Moderate southerly flow off the Atlantic provided cooling influence that limited afternoon warming despite a broader Northeast heat wave pattern, keeping peak values near or below seasonal averages rather than approaching May extremes. This real-time measurement consensus underpins the market-implied 100% probability for 95°F or below, as traders weigh verified station reports over model projections. Only a rare post-analysis revision exceeding 9°F could realistically shift the outcome, an event with negligible historical precedent for this date.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in NYC on May 19?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 19?
95°F or below 100.0%
96-97°F <1%
98-99°F <1%
100-101°F <1%
$8,201 거래량
$8,201 거래량
2026.05.19
95°F or below
Yes
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106-107°F
No
108-109°F
No
110-111°F
No
112-113°F
No
114°F or higher
No
95°F or below 100.0%
96-97°F <1%
98-99°F <1%
100-101°F <1%
$8,201 거래량
$8,201 거래량
2026.05.19
95°F or below
$2,246 거래량
Yes
96-97°F
$1,514 거래량
No
98-99°F
$574 거래량
No
100-101°F
$620 거래량
No
102-103°F
$570 거래량
No
104-105°F
$611 거래량
No
106-107°F
$521 거래량
No
108-109°F
$240 거래량
No
110-111°F
$577 거래량
No
112-113°F
$546 거래량
No
114°F or higher
$181 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official temperature observations from New York City stations, including LaGuardia Airport, recorded a daily high of 82–86°F on May 19, 2026, well below the 95°F threshold and consistent with National Weather Service data. Moderate southerly flow off the Atlantic provided cooling influence that limited afternoon warming despite a broader Northeast heat wave pattern, keeping peak values near or below seasonal averages rather than approaching May extremes. This real-time measurement consensus underpins the market-implied 100% probability for 95°F or below, as traders weigh verified station reports over model projections. Only a rare post-analysis revision exceeding 9°F could realistically shift the outcome, an event with negligible historical precedent for this date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 19, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
거래량
$8,201종료일
2026.05.19마켓 개설일
May 19, 2026, 6:02 PM ET결과 제안됨: Yes
이의 없음
최종 결과: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official temperature observations from New York City stations, including LaGuardia Airport, recorded a daily high of 82–86°F on May 19, 2026, well below the 95°F threshold and consistent with National Weather Service data. Moderate southerly flow off the Atlantic provided cooling influence that limited afternoon warming despite a broader Northeast heat wave pattern, keeping peak values near or below seasonal averages rather than approaching May extremes. This real-time measurement consensus underpins the market-implied 100% probability for 95°F or below, as traders weigh verified station reports over model projections. Only a rare post-analysis revision exceeding 9°F could realistically shift the outcome, an event with negligible historical precedent for this date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$8,201종료일
2026.05.19마켓 개설일
May 19, 2026, 6:02 PM ET결과 제안됨: Yes
이의 없음
최종 결과: Yes
Official temperature observations from New York City stations, including LaGuardia Airport, recorded a daily high of 82–86°F on May 19, 2026, well below the 95°F threshold and consistent with National Weather Service data. Moderate southerly flow off the Atlantic provided cooling influence that limited afternoon warming despite a broader Northeast heat wave pattern, keeping peak values near or below seasonal averages rather than approaching May extremes. This real-time measurement consensus underpins the market-implied 100% probability for 95°F or below, as traders weigh verified station reports over model projections. Only a rare post-analysis revision exceeding 9°F could realistically shift the outcome, an event with negligible historical precedent for this date.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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