Trader consensus assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 21°C in Qingdao on May 5, driven by official observational data from the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport station under the China Meteorological Administration, which recorded a midday peak of 21°C amid partly cloudy skies, southerly winds of 3-5 levels, and sea breezes capping further warming. This aligns with forecast model consensus predicting coastal highs of 19-23°C and seasonal climatology, where early May averages 20.3°C amid rising temperatures from spring patterns. Realistic challenges include a final data revision from late-evening logs revealing a higher micro-peak, though improbable with solar insolation declining and nighttime cooling to 15°C underway; CMA's daily summary expected within hours.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 5?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 5?
21°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$95,135 거래량
$95,135 거래량
2026.05.05
20°C or below
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$95,135 거래량
$95,135 거래량
2026.05.05
20°C or below
$28,933 거래량
No
21°C
$23,008 거래량
Yes
22°C
$14,173 거래량
No
23°C
$10,272 거래량
No
24°C
$5,112 거래량
No
25°C
$2,650 거래량
No
26°C
$1,902 거래량
No
27°C
$1,908 거래량
No
28°C
$4,597 거래량
No
29°C
$1,821 거래량
No
30°C or higher
$758 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 21°C in Qingdao on May 5, driven by official observational data from the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport station under the China Meteorological Administration, which recorded a midday peak of 21°C amid partly cloudy skies, southerly winds of 3-5 levels, and sea breezes capping further warming. This aligns with forecast model consensus predicting coastal highs of 19-23°C and seasonal climatology, where early May averages 20.3°C amid rising temperatures from spring patterns. Realistic challenges include a final data revision from late-evening logs revealing a higher micro-peak, though improbable with solar insolation declining and nighttime cooling to 15°C underway; CMA's daily summary expected within hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 3, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
거래량
$95,135종료일
2026.05.05마켓 개설일
May 3, 2026, 12:34 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 21°C in Qingdao on May 5, driven by official observational data from the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport station under the China Meteorological Administration, which recorded a midday peak of 21°C amid partly cloudy skies, southerly winds of 3-5 levels, and sea breezes capping further warming. This aligns with forecast model consensus predicting coastal highs of 19-23°C and seasonal climatology, where early May averages 20.3°C amid rising temperatures from spring patterns. Realistic challenges include a final data revision from late-evening logs revealing a higher micro-peak, though improbable with solar insolation declining and nighttime cooling to 15°C underway; CMA's daily summary expected within hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$95,135종료일
2026.05.05마켓 개설일
May 3, 2026, 12:34 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 21°C in Qingdao on May 5, driven by official observational data from the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport station under the China Meteorological Administration, which recorded a midday peak of 21°C amid partly cloudy skies, southerly winds of 3-5 levels, and sea breezes capping further warming. This aligns with forecast model consensus predicting coastal highs of 19-23°C and seasonal climatology, where early May averages 20.3°C amid rising temperatures from spring patterns. Realistic challenges include a final data revision from late-evening logs revealing a higher micro-peak, though improbable with solar insolation declining and nighttime cooling to 15°C underway; CMA's daily summary expected within hours.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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