Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns near-certainty (100%) to Seattle's highest temperature reaching 50°F or higher today, aligned with the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a daytime high near 66–67°F under mostly sunny skies and light west winds. This positioning stems from a stable upper-level ridge fostering above-normal temperatures, consistent with recent NOAA model runs (GFS, ECMWF) showing minimal cloud cover and no disruptive fronts through sunset. Current morning observations already exceed 50°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport, the likely resolution station. Realistic challenges—such as sudden marine layer thickening or an unanticipated wind shift from the Strait of Juan de Fuca—remain improbable given steering patterns, though hourly updates from NWS could refine the outlook into evening.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Seattle on April 18?
50°F or higher 100.0%
31°F or below <1%
32-33°F <1%
34-35°F <1%
$72,849 거래량
$72,849 거래량
31°F or below
No
32-33°F
No
34-35°F
No
36-37°F
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50°F or higher
Yes
50°F or higher 100.0%
31°F or below <1%
32-33°F <1%
34-35°F <1%
$72,849 거래량
$72,849 거래량
31°F or below
No
32-33°F
No
34-35°F
No
36-37°F
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50°F or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 16, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns near-certainty (100%) to Seattle's highest temperature reaching 50°F or higher today, aligned with the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a daytime high near 66–67°F under mostly sunny skies and light west winds. This positioning stems from a stable upper-level ridge fostering above-normal temperatures, consistent with recent NOAA model runs (GFS, ECMWF) showing minimal cloud cover and no disruptive fronts through sunset. Current morning observations already exceed 50°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport, the likely resolution station. Realistic challenges—such as sudden marine layer thickening or an unanticipated wind shift from the Strait of Juan de Fuca—remain improbable given steering patterns, though hourly updates from NWS could refine the outlook into evening.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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