Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observational data from Seoul's official monitoring station confirms the highest temperature on May 5, 2026, peaked at exactly 18°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. Preceding short-term KMA forecasts and global models like ECMWF projected mild daytime highs around 18-19°C amid a cool air mass, northerly winds, and partial cloud cover that suppressed solar heating on this Children's Day. Typical early-May highs in Seoul average 20-22°C, but current atmospheric conditions aligned with the cooler outcome. Scenarios challenging this include rare KMA data revisions from equipment recalibration or overlooked hourly observations exceeding 18°C, though official records carry authoritative weight.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Seoul on May 5?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 5?
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$271,229 거래량
$271,229 거래량
2026.05.05
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$271,229 거래량
$271,229 거래량
2026.05.05
10°C or below
$3,137 거래량
No
11°C
$2,424 거래량
No
12°C
$4,545 거래량
No
13°C
$7,903 거래량
No
14°C
$19,439 거래량
No
15°C
$21,874 거래량
No
16°C
$28,275 거래량
No
17°C
$36,447 거래량
No
18°C
$57,447 거래량
Yes
19°C
$32,498 거래량
No
20°C or higher
$57,240 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observational data from Seoul's official monitoring station confirms the highest temperature on May 5, 2026, peaked at exactly 18°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. Preceding short-term KMA forecasts and global models like ECMWF projected mild daytime highs around 18-19°C amid a cool air mass, northerly winds, and partial cloud cover that suppressed solar heating on this Children's Day. Typical early-May highs in Seoul average 20-22°C, but current atmospheric conditions aligned with the cooler outcome. Scenarios challenging this include rare KMA data revisions from equipment recalibration or overlooked hourly observations exceeding 18°C, though official records carry authoritative weight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
거래량
$271,229종료일
2026.05.05마켓 개설일
May 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observational data from Seoul's official monitoring station confirms the highest temperature on May 5, 2026, peaked at exactly 18°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. Preceding short-term KMA forecasts and global models like ECMWF projected mild daytime highs around 18-19°C amid a cool air mass, northerly winds, and partial cloud cover that suppressed solar heating on this Children's Day. Typical early-May highs in Seoul average 20-22°C, but current atmospheric conditions aligned with the cooler outcome. Scenarios challenging this include rare KMA data revisions from equipment recalibration or overlooked hourly observations exceeding 18°C, though official records carry authoritative weight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$271,229종료일
2026.05.05마켓 개설일
May 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observational data from Seoul's official monitoring station confirms the highest temperature on May 5, 2026, peaked at exactly 18°C, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. Preceding short-term KMA forecasts and global models like ECMWF projected mild daytime highs around 18-19°C amid a cool air mass, northerly winds, and partial cloud cover that suppressed solar heating on this Children's Day. Typical early-May highs in Seoul average 20-22°C, but current atmospheric conditions aligned with the cooler outcome. Scenarios challenging this include rare KMA data revisions from equipment recalibration or overlooked hourly observations exceeding 18°C, though official records carry authoritative weight.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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