Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models point to a daily maximum of 22°C in Tokyo under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and moderate humidity, aligning precisely with the market-implied 100% consensus for that outcome. June climatology shows average highs near 26°C, yet persistent cloud cover and a stable air mass have suppressed daytime warming, consistent with recent observations and ensemble guidance. This positioning reflects traders’ assessment of real-time meteorological data rather than long-term trends. A shift in cloud thickness or unexpected southerly flow could push temperatures a degree or two higher before sunset, though current model runs indicate low probability of such deviation.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 10일 도쿄에서 가장 높은 기온?
22°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$121,524 거래량
$121,524 거래량
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$121,524 거래량
$121,524 거래량
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 8, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and supporting models point to a daily maximum of 22°C in Tokyo under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and moderate humidity, aligning precisely with the market-implied 100% consensus for that outcome. June climatology shows average highs near 26°C, yet persistent cloud cover and a stable air mass have suppressed daytime warming, consistent with recent observations and ensemble guidance. This positioning reflects traders’ assessment of real-time meteorological data rather than long-term trends. A shift in cloud thickness or unexpected southerly flow could push temperatures a degree or two higher before sunset, though current model runs indicate low probability of such deviation.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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