Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching exactly 25°C on May 7, driven by the latest observational data and forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, the market's official resolution source. Midday readings hovered around 20–22°C amid cloudy skies and light rain, aligning with global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting a daily maximum of 25°C under persistent frontal cloud cover suppressing further warming. This fits May climatology, where average highs near 26°C are common but modulated by weather patterns. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing for intense solar heating in late afternoon, though current conditions make this improbable as the resolution window nears.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 7?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 7?
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$209,077 거래량
$209,077 거래량
2026.05.07
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$209,077 거래량
$209,077 거래량
2026.05.07
16°C or below
$14,432 거래량
No
17°C
$459 거래량
No
18°C
$647 거래량
No
19°C
$6,152 거래량
No
20°C
$6,919 거래량
No
21°C
$19,879 거래량
No
22°C
$36,698 거래량
No
23°C
$34,269 거래량
No
24°C
$36,969 거래량
No
25°C
$27,920 거래량
Yes
26°C or higher
$24,734 거래량
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching exactly 25°C on May 7, driven by the latest observational data and forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, the market's official resolution source. Midday readings hovered around 20–22°C amid cloudy skies and light rain, aligning with global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting a daily maximum of 25°C under persistent frontal cloud cover suppressing further warming. This fits May climatology, where average highs near 26°C are common but modulated by weather patterns. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing for intense solar heating in late afternoon, though current conditions make this improbable as the resolution window nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 5, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
거래량
$209,077종료일
2026.05.07마켓 개설일
May 5, 2026, 12:34 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching exactly 25°C on May 7, driven by the latest observational data and forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, the market's official resolution source. Midday readings hovered around 20–22°C amid cloudy skies and light rain, aligning with global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting a daily maximum of 25°C under persistent frontal cloud cover suppressing further warming. This fits May climatology, where average highs near 26°C are common but modulated by weather patterns. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing for intense solar heating in late afternoon, though current conditions make this improbable as the resolution window nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$209,077종료일
2026.05.07마켓 개설일
May 5, 2026, 12:34 AM ET결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching exactly 25°C on May 7, driven by the latest observational data and forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, the market's official resolution source. Midday readings hovered around 20–22°C amid cloudy skies and light rain, aligning with global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting a daily maximum of 25°C under persistent frontal cloud cover suppressing further warming. This fits May climatology, where average highs near 26°C are common but modulated by weather patterns. A realistic challenge would require sudden clearing for intense solar heating in late afternoon, though current conditions make this improbable as the resolution window nears.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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