The 10-year Treasury yield has retreated to approximately 4.26% as of April 16, 2026, down from a recent peak of 4.31% amid heightened volatility and yield curve un-inversion, driven primarily by a sharp post-ceasefire relief rally following the Iran conflict resolution on April 8. March 2026 CPI data revealed annual inflation accelerating to 3.3% with a 0.9% monthly surge, reinforcing the Federal Reserve's decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.5%-3.75% after its March meeting. Traders are pricing in limited downside amid persistent inflationary pressures and resilient labor conditions, with focus shifting to the April 28-29 FOMC gathering and the May 12 release of April CPI for signals on potential policy easing before 2027.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$212,659 거래량
2026.12.31
3.9%
73%
3.8%
59%
3.7%
43%
3.6%
39%
3.5%
33%
3.0%
22%
2.0%
12%
1.0%
4%
$212,659 거래량
3.9%
$40,051 거래량
73%
3.8%
$39,075 거래량
59%
3.7%
$26,270 거래량
43%
3.6%
$4,723 거래량
39%
3.5%
$30,945 거래량
33%
3.0%
$277 거래량
22%
2.0%
$326 거래량
12%
1.0%
$39,233 거래량
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield has retreated to approximately 4.26% as of April 16, 2026, down from a recent peak of 4.31% amid heightened volatility and yield curve un-inversion, driven primarily by a sharp post-ceasefire relief rally following the Iran conflict resolution on April 8. March 2026 CPI data revealed annual inflation accelerating to 3.3% with a 0.9% monthly surge, reinforcing the Federal Reserve's decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.5%-3.75% after its March meeting. Traders are pricing in limited downside amid persistent inflationary pressures and resilient labor conditions, with focus shifting to the April 28-29 FOMC gathering and the May 12 release of April CPI for signals on potential policy easing before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
마켓 개설일: Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ET
거래량
$212,659종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield has retreated to approximately 4.26% as of April 16, 2026, down from a recent peak of 4.31% amid heightened volatility and yield curve un-inversion, driven primarily by a sharp post-ceasefire relief rally following the Iran conflict resolution on April 8. March 2026 CPI data revealed annual inflation accelerating to 3.3% with a 0.9% monthly surge, reinforcing the Federal Reserve's decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.5%-3.75% after its March meeting. Traders are pricing in limited downside amid persistent inflationary pressures and resilient labor conditions, with focus shifting to the April 28-29 FOMC gathering and the May 12 release of April CPI for signals on potential policy easing before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
거래량
$212,659종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 10-year Treasury yield has retreated to approximately 4.26% as of April 16, 2026, down from a recent peak of 4.31% amid heightened volatility and yield curve un-inversion, driven primarily by a sharp post-ceasefire relief rally following the Iran conflict resolution on April 8. March 2026 CPI data revealed annual inflation accelerating to 3.3% with a 0.9% monthly surge, reinforcing the Federal Reserve's decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.5%-3.75% after its March meeting. Traders are pricing in limited downside amid persistent inflationary pressures and resilient labor conditions, with focus shifting to the April 28-29 FOMC gathering and the May 12 release of April CPI for signals on potential policy easing before 2027.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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