Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 96.6% implied probability for "No" on WTI crude oil hitting its all-time high of $410.45/bbl (set December 2025) by April 30, anchored by spot prices near $91/bbl—over 75% below the peak—following a recent pullback from $100 amid booming U.S. inventories and the IEA's April 2026 report slashing global demand growth to a 80 kb/d contraction due to economic slowdowns and supply glut risks. Surging non-OPEC production and subdued demand from China reinforce this positioning, with EIA forecasting a Brent peak of $115/bbl in Q2. Tail risks include geopolitical shocks like Middle East escalation or Russia export halts, potentially driving extreme volatility, though proximity to resolution limits upside potential.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$252,403 거래량
$252,403 거래량
2026.04.30
예
$252,403 거래량
$252,403 거래량
2026.04.30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 96.6% implied probability for "No" on WTI crude oil hitting its all-time high of $410.45/bbl (set December 2025) by April 30, anchored by spot prices near $91/bbl—over 75% below the peak—following a recent pullback from $100 amid booming U.S. inventories and the IEA's April 2026 report slashing global demand growth to a 80 kb/d contraction due to economic slowdowns and supply glut risks. Surging non-OPEC production and subdued demand from China reinforce this positioning, with EIA forecasting a Brent peak of $115/bbl in Q2. Tail risks include geopolitical shocks like Middle East escalation or Russia export halts, potentially driving extreme volatility, though proximity to resolution limits upside potential.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
마켓 개설일: Mar 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
거래량
$252,403종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 96.6% implied probability for "No" on WTI crude oil hitting its all-time high of $410.45/bbl (set December 2025) by April 30, anchored by spot prices near $91/bbl—over 75% below the peak—following a recent pullback from $100 amid booming U.S. inventories and the IEA's April 2026 report slashing global demand growth to a 80 kb/d contraction due to economic slowdowns and supply glut risks. Surging non-OPEC production and subdued demand from China reinforce this positioning, with EIA forecasting a Brent peak of $115/bbl in Q2. Tail risks include geopolitical shocks like Middle East escalation or Russia export halts, potentially driving extreme volatility, though proximity to resolution limits upside potential.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day of April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of April 2026 is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
거래량
$252,403종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 96.6% implied probability for "No" on WTI crude oil hitting its all-time high of $410.45/bbl (set December 2025) by April 30, anchored by spot prices near $91/bbl—over 75% below the peak—following a recent pullback from $100 amid booming U.S. inventories and the IEA's April 2026 report slashing global demand growth to a 80 kb/d contraction due to economic slowdowns and supply glut risks. Surging non-OPEC production and subdued demand from China reinforce this positioning, with EIA forecasting a Brent peak of $115/bbl in Q2. Tail risks include geopolitical shocks like Middle East escalation or Russia export halts, potentially driving extreme volatility, though proximity to resolution limits upside potential.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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