Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a leading 32.5% implied probability to SpaceX raising $70-80 billion in its IPO, anchored by recent reports of a targeted $75 billion offering at a $1.75-2 trillion valuation following the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1. This positioning reflects scaled ambitions beyond the December 2025 tender offer's $800 billion valuation, fueled by 2025 financials of $8 billion profit on $15-16 billion revenue from Starlink and launch dominance. Adjacent outcomes like 80-90 billion (13.5%) hinge on roadshow demand, while lower bins (<$70 billion totaling ~28%) factor in risks of scaled-back issuance amid equity volatility and lofty 110x sales multiples. Upcoming catalysts include site visits this week, an early June roadshow, and mid-June pricing.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$135,139 거래량
$135,139 거래량
400억 달러 미만
5%
400~500억 달러
4%
500억~600억 달러
11%
600~700억
9%
700~800억
33%
800~900억
14%
900억~1,000억 달러
2%
1,000억~1,100억 달러
9%
1,100억~1,200억
1%
1,200억+
3%
$135,139 거래량
$135,139 거래량
400억 달러 미만
$9,566 거래량
5%
400~500억 달러
$5,310 거래량
4%
500억~600억 달러
$33,062 거래량
11%
600~700억
$14,044 거래량
9%
700~800억
$24,208 거래량
33%
800~900억
$15,462 거래량
14%
900억~1,000억 달러
$10,080 거래량
2%
1,000억~1,100억 달러
$7,478 거래량
9%
1,100억~1,200억
$8,434 거래량
1%
1,200억+
$7,496 거래량
3%
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a leading 32.5% implied probability to SpaceX raising $70-80 billion in its IPO, anchored by recent reports of a targeted $75 billion offering at a $1.75-2 trillion valuation following the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1. This positioning reflects scaled ambitions beyond the December 2025 tender offer's $800 billion valuation, fueled by 2025 financials of $8 billion profit on $15-16 billion revenue from Starlink and launch dominance. Adjacent outcomes like 80-90 billion (13.5%) hinge on roadshow demand, while lower bins (<$70 billion totaling ~28%) factor in risks of scaled-back issuance amid equity volatility and lofty 110x sales multiples. Upcoming catalysts include site visits this week, an early June roadshow, and mid-June pricing.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
거래량
$135,139마켓 개설일
Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a leading 32.5% implied probability to SpaceX raising $70-80 billion in its IPO, anchored by recent reports of a targeted $75 billion offering at a $1.75-2 trillion valuation following the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1. This positioning reflects scaled ambitions beyond the December 2025 tender offer's $800 billion valuation, fueled by 2025 financials of $8 billion profit on $15-16 billion revenue from Starlink and launch dominance. Adjacent outcomes like 80-90 billion (13.5%) hinge on roadshow demand, while lower bins (<$70 billion totaling ~28%) factor in risks of scaled-back issuance amid equity volatility and lofty 110x sales multiples. Upcoming catalysts include site visits this week, an early June roadshow, and mid-June pricing.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$135,139마켓 개설일
Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a leading 32.5% implied probability to SpaceX raising $70-80 billion in its IPO, anchored by recent reports of a targeted $75 billion offering at a $1.75-2 trillion valuation following the company's confidential S-1 filing on April 1. This positioning reflects scaled ambitions beyond the December 2025 tender offer's $800 billion valuation, fueled by 2025 financials of $8 billion profit on $15-16 billion revenue from Starlink and launch dominance. Adjacent outcomes like 80-90 billion (13.5%) hinge on roadshow demand, while lower bins (<$70 billion totaling ~28%) factor in risks of scaled-back issuance amid equity volatility and lofty 110x sales multiples. Upcoming catalysts include site visits this week, an early June roadshow, and mid-June pricing.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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