Real Madrid's 76% implied probability reflects their dominant La Liga standing (second with 70 points from 31 matches), a 37-point edge over relegation-threatened 17th-placed Alavés, home advantage at the Bernabéu, and superior head-to-head history, including a gritty 2-1 away win in December 2025 despite early injuries. Recent form supports this, with victories over Celta Vigo (2-1), Elche (4-1), and Atlético Madrid (3-2) showcasing resilience. Persistent injury woes—Thibaut Courtois out until early May with a thigh muscle tear, Rodrygo sidelined through September via cruciate ligament rupture—temper expectations, boosting draw odds to 15.5% and giving Alavés a slim 8.5% upset shot amid their poor away form and defensive frailties.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트If Real Madrid CF wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
마켓 개설일: Apr 8, 2026, 2:01 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Real Madrid CF wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
마켓 개설일: Apr 8, 2026, 2:01 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Real Madrid's 76% implied probability reflects their dominant La Liga standing (second with 70 points from 31 matches), a 37-point edge over relegation-threatened 17th-placed Alavés, home advantage at the Bernabéu, and superior head-to-head history, including a gritty 2-1 away win in December 2025 despite early injuries. Recent form supports this, with victories over Celta Vigo (2-1), Elche (4-1), and Atlético Madrid (3-2) showcasing resilience. Persistent injury woes—Thibaut Courtois out until early May with a thigh muscle tear, Rodrygo sidelined through September via cruciate ligament rupture—temper expectations, boosting draw odds to 15.5% and giving Alavés a slim 8.5% upset shot amid their poor away form and defensive frailties.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트

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