Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "Yes" shares at 60.5% for no major triggering events through December 31, 2026, driven by an uneventful first quarter since the market launched January 6: no geopolitical escalations like a Chinese invasion of Taiwan, Russian move on NATO territory, U.S. action against Iran, or Iranian regime collapse; President Trump remains in office; Xi Jinping holds power; Bitcoin price stays between $10,000 and $1 million; no leadership upheaval, territorial acquisitions like Greenland, or catastrophic natural disasters such as a VEI 6+ volcano, 9.0+ earthquake, or 250kt+ meteor strike; and Jeffrey Epstein stays deceased. Monthly "Nothing Ever Happens" markets for January through March resolved affirmatively, bolstering sentiment, though risks persist from midterm elections in November—potentially yielding a Republican trifecta with Senate supermajority—crypto volatility, and simmering global tensions.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$492,565 거래량
$492,565 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$492,565 거래량
$492,565 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket prices "Yes" shares at 60.5% for no major triggering events through December 31, 2026, driven by an uneventful first quarter since the market launched January 6: no geopolitical escalations like a Chinese invasion of Taiwan, Russian move on NATO territory, U.S. action against Iran, or Iranian regime collapse; President Trump remains in office; Xi Jinping holds power; Bitcoin price stays between $10,000 and $1 million; no leadership upheaval, territorial acquisitions like Greenland, or catastrophic natural disasters such as a VEI 6+ volcano, 9.0+ earthquake, or 250kt+ meteor strike; and Jeffrey Epstein stays deceased. Monthly "Nothing Ever Happens" markets for January through March resolved affirmatively, bolstering sentiment, though risks persist from midterm elections in November—potentially yielding a Republican trifecta with Senate supermajority—crypto volatility, and simmering global tensions.
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
마켓 개설일: Jan 6, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
거래량
$492,565종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 6, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket prices "Yes" shares at 60.5% for no major triggering events through December 31, 2026, driven by an uneventful first quarter since the market launched January 6: no geopolitical escalations like a Chinese invasion of Taiwan, Russian move on NATO territory, U.S. action against Iran, or Iranian regime collapse; President Trump remains in office; Xi Jinping holds power; Bitcoin price stays between $10,000 and $1 million; no leadership upheaval, territorial acquisitions like Greenland, or catastrophic natural disasters such as a VEI 6+ volcano, 9.0+ earthquake, or 250kt+ meteor strike; and Jeffrey Epstein stays deceased. Monthly "Nothing Ever Happens" markets for January through March resolved affirmatively, bolstering sentiment, though risks persist from midterm elections in November—potentially yielding a Republican trifecta with Senate supermajority—crypto volatility, and simmering global tensions.
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
- Trump out as President
- China invades Taiwan
- Xi Jinping out
- U.S. invades Iran
- Iranian regime falls
- Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’
- Jeffrey Epstein alive
- Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate
- Russia invades a NATO country
- Trump acquires Greenland
- 9.0 or above earthquake
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6)
- Major meteor strike (250kt+)
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
거래량
$492,565종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 6, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "Yes" shares at 60.5% for no major triggering events through December 31, 2026, driven by an uneventful first quarter since the market launched January 6: no geopolitical escalations like a Chinese invasion of Taiwan, Russian move on NATO territory, U.S. action against Iran, or Iranian regime collapse; President Trump remains in office; Xi Jinping holds power; Bitcoin price stays between $10,000 and $1 million; no leadership upheaval, territorial acquisitions like Greenland, or catastrophic natural disasters such as a VEI 6+ volcano, 9.0+ earthquake, or 250kt+ meteor strike; and Jeffrey Epstein stays deceased. Monthly "Nothing Ever Happens" markets for January through March resolved affirmatively, bolstering sentiment, though risks persist from midterm elections in November—potentially yielding a Republican trifecta with Senate supermajority—crypto volatility, and simmering global tensions.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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