Ongoing US-Iran tensions have remained contained through mid-May 2026, with recent airstrikes characterized by the administration as limited operations and no escalation to a permanent peace agreement or leadership change in Tehran. Oil prices have stayed below thresholds that would trigger resolution, while Russian military activity remains focused on Ukraine without NATO incursions. Diplomatic efforts, including reported talks involving Pakistan and BRICS coordination, have not produced verifiable breakthroughs meeting market criteria. With structural barriers to sudden major shifts and just over two weeks remaining, trader consensus at 89% for "Nothing" reflects sustained stability in these key geopolitical and energy indicators.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트아무것도 없음
$85,679 거래량
$85,679 거래량
2026.05.31
아무것도 없음
$85,679 거래량
$85,679 거래량
2026.05.31
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdfOngoing US-Iran tensions have remained contained through mid-May 2026, with recent airstrikes characterized by the administration as limited operations and no escalation to a permanent peace agreement or leadership change in Tehran. Oil prices have stayed below thresholds that would trigger resolution, while Russian military activity remains focused on Ukraine without NATO incursions. Diplomatic efforts, including reported talks involving Pakistan and BRICS coordination, have not produced verifiable breakthroughs meeting market criteria. With structural barriers to sudden major shifts and just over two weeks remaining, trader consensus at 89% for "Nothing" reflects sustained stability in these key geopolitical and energy indicators.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf
마켓 개설일: Apr 30, 2026, 3:14 PM ET
거래량
$85,679종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Apr 30, 2026, 3:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdfOngoing US-Iran tensions have remained contained through mid-May 2026, with recent airstrikes characterized by the administration as limited operations and no escalation to a permanent peace agreement or leadership change in Tehran. Oil prices have stayed below thresholds that would trigger resolution, while Russian military activity remains focused on Ukraine without NATO incursions. Diplomatic efforts, including reported talks involving Pakistan and BRICS coordination, have not produced verifiable breakthroughs meeting market criteria. With structural barriers to sudden major shifts and just over two weeks remaining, trader consensus at 89% for "Nothing" reflects sustained stability in these key geopolitical and energy indicators.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf
거래량
$85,679종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Apr 30, 2026, 3:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran tensions have remained contained through mid-May 2026, with recent airstrikes characterized by the administration as limited operations and no escalation to a permanent peace agreement or leadership change in Tehran. Oil prices have stayed below thresholds that would trigger resolution, while Russian military activity remains focused on Ukraine without NATO incursions. Diplomatic efforts, including reported talks involving Pakistan and BRICS coordination, have not produced verifiable breakthroughs meeting market criteria. With structural barriers to sudden major shifts and just over two weeks remaining, trader consensus at 89% for "Nothing" reflects sustained stability in these key geopolitical and energy indicators.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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