Trader consensus prices a "blue tsunami"—Democrats gaining control of both House and Senate—at 53.5%, reflecting historical midterm losses for the president's party amid President Trump's sinking approval ratings tied to high gas prices from the ongoing Iran conflict and economic concerns. Recent special elections and off-year races show consistent Democratic gains, including state legislative flips, alongside generic ballot polls favoring Democrats by 2-6 points, fueling House flip expectations around 80-85%. The contest remains tight due to the GOP-favorable Senate map and unusual Republican net favorability lead (+5 per CNN), with retirements adding uncertainty. Escalating war backlash or stronger economic data could tip toward Yes; GOP base mobilization or Democratic infighting might solidify No. Primaries starting soon will clarify battlegrounds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$23,271 거래량
$23,271 거래량
2026.11.30
예
$23,271 거래량
$23,271 거래량
2026.11.30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueTsunami.pdfTrader consensus prices a "blue tsunami"—Democrats gaining control of both House and Senate—at 53.5%, reflecting historical midterm losses for the president's party amid President Trump's sinking approval ratings tied to high gas prices from the ongoing Iran conflict and economic concerns. Recent special elections and off-year races show consistent Democratic gains, including state legislative flips, alongside generic ballot polls favoring Democrats by 2-6 points, fueling House flip expectations around 80-85%. The contest remains tight due to the GOP-favorable Senate map and unusual Republican net favorability lead (+5 per CNN), with retirements adding uncertainty. Escalating war backlash or stronger economic data could tip toward Yes; GOP base mobilization or Democratic infighting might solidify No. Primaries starting soon will clarify battlegrounds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueTsunami.pdf
- Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueTsunami.pdf
마켓 개설일: Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ET
거래량
$23,271종료일
2026.11.30마켓 개설일
Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueTsunami.pdfTrader consensus prices a "blue tsunami"—Democrats gaining control of both House and Senate—at 53.5%, reflecting historical midterm losses for the president's party amid President Trump's sinking approval ratings tied to high gas prices from the ongoing Iran conflict and economic concerns. Recent special elections and off-year races show consistent Democratic gains, including state legislative flips, alongside generic ballot polls favoring Democrats by 2-6 points, fueling House flip expectations around 80-85%. The contest remains tight due to the GOP-favorable Senate map and unusual Republican net favorability lead (+5 per CNN), with retirements adding uncertainty. Escalating war backlash or stronger economic data could tip toward Yes; GOP base mobilization or Democratic infighting might solidify No. Primaries starting soon will clarify battlegrounds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueTsunami.pdf
- Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueTsunami.pdf
거래량
$23,271종료일
2026.11.30마켓 개설일
Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a "blue tsunami"—Democrats gaining control of both House and Senate—at 53.5%, reflecting historical midterm losses for the president's party amid President Trump's sinking approval ratings tied to high gas prices from the ongoing Iran conflict and economic concerns. Recent special elections and off-year races show consistent Democratic gains, including state legislative flips, alongside generic ballot polls favoring Democrats by 2-6 points, fueling House flip expectations around 80-85%. The contest remains tight due to the GOP-favorable Senate map and unusual Republican net favorability lead (+5 per CNN), with retirements adding uncertainty. Escalating war backlash or stronger economic data could tip toward Yes; GOP base mobilization or Democratic infighting might solidify No. Primaries starting soon will clarify battlegrounds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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