Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 84% implied probability for the Elon Bull Run Parlay, reflecting deep skepticism that all three conditions—Elon Musk reaching $1 trillion net worth on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, confirming another child, and SpaceX achieving 9+ Starship launches reaching space by December 31, 2026—will simultaneously occur. Tesla's disappointing Q1 2026 vehicle deliveries, announced April 2 and triggering a 5%+ stock plunge, have dimmed prospects for the trillionaire milestone amid sluggish EV demand and delayed Optimus robot unveilings. No credible reports confirm a new Musk child in 2026, while Starship's launch cadence lags despite SpaceX's recent IPO filing and xAI merger speculation. Upcoming SpaceX analyst day on April 21 could catalyze shifts if it details accelerated Starship tests or valuation surges.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.12.31
신규
신규
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 84% implied probability for the Elon Bull Run Parlay, reflecting deep skepticism that all three conditions—Elon Musk reaching $1 trillion net worth on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, confirming another child, and SpaceX achieving 9+ Starship launches reaching space by December 31, 2026—will simultaneously occur. Tesla's disappointing Q1 2026 vehicle deliveries, announced April 2 and triggering a 5%+ stock plunge, have dimmed prospects for the trillionaire milestone amid sluggish EV demand and delayed Optimus robot unveilings. No credible reports confirm a new Musk child in 2026, while Starship's launch cadence lags despite SpaceX's recent IPO filing and xAI merger speculation. Upcoming SpaceX analyst day on April 21 could catalyze shifts if it details accelerated Starship tests or valuation surges.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
마켓 개설일: Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
거래량
$9,502종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 84% implied probability for the Elon Bull Run Parlay, reflecting deep skepticism that all three conditions—Elon Musk reaching $1 trillion net worth on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, confirming another child, and SpaceX achieving 9+ Starship launches reaching space by December 31, 2026—will simultaneously occur. Tesla's disappointing Q1 2026 vehicle deliveries, announced April 2 and triggering a 5%+ stock plunge, have dimmed prospects for the trillionaire milestone amid sluggish EV demand and delayed Optimus robot unveilings. No credible reports confirm a new Musk child in 2026, while Starship's launch cadence lags despite SpaceX's recent IPO filing and xAI merger speculation. Upcoming SpaceX analyst day on April 21 could catalyze shifts if it details accelerated Starship tests or valuation surges.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
- Elon Musk trillionaire
- Another Elon baby
- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf
거래량
$9,502종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Feb 6, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 84% implied probability for the Elon Bull Run Parlay, reflecting deep skepticism that all three conditions—Elon Musk reaching $1 trillion net worth on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, confirming another child, and SpaceX achieving 9+ Starship launches reaching space by December 31, 2026—will simultaneously occur. Tesla's disappointing Q1 2026 vehicle deliveries, announced April 2 and triggering a 5%+ stock plunge, have dimmed prospects for the trillionaire milestone amid sluggish EV demand and delayed Optimus robot unveilings. No credible reports confirm a new Musk child in 2026, while Starship's launch cadence lags despite SpaceX's recent IPO filing and xAI merger speculation. Upcoming SpaceX analyst day on April 21 could catalyze shifts if it details accelerated Starship tests or valuation surges.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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