Incumbent Mayor Mark Sutcliffe commands trader consensus at 60% implied probability for the October 26, 2026, Ottawa municipal election, buoyed by his 2022 win capturing 51% amid high turnout and strong mayor powers enabling executive actions on priorities like transit and housing. Councillor Jeff Leiper, who launched his bid in June 2025 citing concerns over city direction including budget and transit service, trails at 22.5% as the primary challenger with council experience. Homebuilder Alex Lawson's January 2026 entry, backed by political operatives, sits at 3.1%, while no public polls have surfaced in the past 30 days to alter positioning; nominations open soon, with LRT reliability efforts highlighting ongoing voter flashpoints.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Mark Sutcliffe 60%
Jeff Leiper 22%
Alex Lawson 2.9%
Catherine McKenney <1%

Mark Sutcliffe
60%

Jeff Leiper
22%

Alex Lawson
3%

Catherine McKenney
<1%

Neil Saravanamuttoo
<1%
Mark Sutcliffe 60%
Jeff Leiper 22%
Alex Lawson 2.9%
Catherine McKenney <1%

Mark Sutcliffe
60%

Jeff Leiper
22%

Alex Lawson
3%

Catherine McKenney
<1%

Neil Saravanamuttoo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
마켓 개설일: Apr 2, 2026, 4:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Mayor Mark Sutcliffe commands trader consensus at 60% implied probability for the October 26, 2026, Ottawa municipal election, buoyed by his 2022 win capturing 51% amid high turnout and strong mayor powers enabling executive actions on priorities like transit and housing. Councillor Jeff Leiper, who launched his bid in June 2025 citing concerns over city direction including budget and transit service, trails at 22.5% as the primary challenger with council experience. Homebuilder Alex Lawson's January 2026 entry, backed by political operatives, sits at 3.1%, while no public polls have surfaced in the past 30 days to alter positioning; nominations open soon, with LRT reliability efforts highlighting ongoing voter flashpoints.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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