As of April 16, cumulative rainfall at the Hong Kong Observatory stands around 60mm through April 13—primarily from a 45.1mm downpour on April 5—with minimal additions since amid mostly sunny intervals and scattered showers. This below-average start to the rainy season, against a historical April norm of about 150-160mm, drives trader consensus toward totals under 140mm, reflected in tight odds between <130mm (32.5%) and 130-140mm (27.5%). Forecasts predict normal to above-normal precipitation for April-June, but uncertainty in late-month shower patterns and potential tropical influences keeps the race competitive; sustained dry spells could push below 130mm, while clustered heavy rain events might elevate toward 150mm+.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Precipitation in Hong Kong in April?
Precipitation in Hong Kong in April?
<130mm 32%
130-140mm 26%
140-150mm 24%
150-160mm 18%
$28,497 거래량
$28,497 거래량
<130mm
32%
130-140mm
26%
140-150mm
24%
150-160mm
18%
160-170mm
4%
190-200mm
2%
180-190
3%
190mm+
10%
<130mm 32%
130-140mm 26%
140-150mm 24%
150-160mm 18%
$28,497 거래량
$28,497 거래량
<130mm
32%
130-140mm
26%
140-150mm
24%
150-160mm
18%
160-170mm
4%
190-200mm
2%
180-190
3%
190mm+
10%
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...As of April 16, cumulative rainfall at the Hong Kong Observatory stands around 60mm through April 13—primarily from a 45.1mm downpour on April 5—with minimal additions since amid mostly sunny intervals and scattered showers. This below-average start to the rainy season, against a historical April norm of about 150-160mm, drives trader consensus toward totals under 140mm, reflected in tight odds between <130mm (32.5%) and 130-140mm (27.5%). Forecasts predict normal to above-normal precipitation for April-June, but uncertainty in late-month shower patterns and potential tropical influences keeps the race competitive; sustained dry spells could push below 130mm, while clustered heavy rain events might elevate toward 150mm+.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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