With only 60 mm of rainfall accumulated at the Hong Kong Observatory through April 13—primarily from a 45.1 mm downpour on April 5—traders favor the under-130 mm outcome at 33.5%, reflecting a dry spell amid the rainy season's onset. This below-pace total versus the historical April average of around 145 mm differentiates lower bins, while the Observatory's normal to above-normal seasonal rainfall forecast for April-June bolsters 130-140 mm (21%) and 140-150 mm (20.5%) as close contenders. Resolution awaits total precipitation from April 1-30; persistent showers or thunderstorms in the remaining half-month could shift consensus to mid-range totals, but high-pressure systems maintaining dry conditions would solidify under-130 mm leadership.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Precipitation in Hong Kong in April?
Precipitation in Hong Kong in April?
<130mm 34%
130-140mm 26%
140-150mm 21%
150-160mm 19%
$28,497 거래량
$28,497 거래량
2026.04.30
<130mm
34%
130-140mm
26%
140-150mm
21%
150-160mm
19%
160-170mm
4%
190-200mm
2%
180-190
3%
190mm+
9%
<130mm 34%
130-140mm 26%
140-150mm 21%
150-160mm 19%
$28,497 거래량
$28,497 거래량
2026.04.30
<130mm
$13,151 거래량
34%
130-140mm
$5,181 거래량
26%
140-150mm
$5,677 거래량
21%
150-160mm
$3,209 거래량
19%
160-170mm
$237 거래량
4%
190-200mm
$189 거래량
2%
180-190
$206 거래량
3%
190mm+
$648 거래량
9%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.With only 60 mm of rainfall accumulated at the Hong Kong Observatory through April 13—primarily from a 45.1 mm downpour on April 5—traders favor the under-130 mm outcome at 33.5%, reflecting a dry spell amid the rainy season's onset. This below-pace total versus the historical April average of around 145 mm differentiates lower bins, while the Observatory's normal to above-normal seasonal rainfall forecast for April-June bolsters 130-140 mm (21%) and 140-150 mm (20.5%) as close contenders. Resolution awaits total precipitation from April 1-30; persistent showers or thunderstorms in the remaining half-month could shift consensus to mid-range totals, but high-pressure systems maintaining dry conditions would solidify under-130 mm leadership.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
거래량
$28,497종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.With only 60 mm of rainfall accumulated at the Hong Kong Observatory through April 13—primarily from a 45.1 mm downpour on April 5—traders favor the under-130 mm outcome at 33.5%, reflecting a dry spell amid the rainy season's onset. This below-pace total versus the historical April average of around 145 mm differentiates lower bins, while the Observatory's normal to above-normal seasonal rainfall forecast for April-June bolsters 130-140 mm (21%) and 140-150 mm (20.5%) as close contenders. Resolution awaits total precipitation from April 1-30; persistent showers or thunderstorms in the remaining half-month could shift consensus to mid-range totals, but high-pressure systems maintaining dry conditions would solidify under-130 mm leadership.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$28,497종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With only 60 mm of rainfall accumulated at the Hong Kong Observatory through April 13—primarily from a 45.1 mm downpour on April 5—traders favor the under-130 mm outcome at 33.5%, reflecting a dry spell amid the rainy season's onset. This below-pace total versus the historical April average of around 145 mm differentiates lower bins, while the Observatory's normal to above-normal seasonal rainfall forecast for April-June bolsters 130-140 mm (21%) and 140-150 mm (20.5%) as close contenders. Resolution awaits total precipitation from April 1-30; persistent showers or thunderstorms in the remaining half-month could shift consensus to mid-range totals, but high-pressure systems maintaining dry conditions would solidify under-130 mm leadership.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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