Delcy Rodríguez's position as Venezuela's interim president since Nicolás Maduro's January 2026 U.S. capture by special forces remains precarious, driving the razor-thin trader consensus between her at 42% and Maduro at 44.9% for head of state by year-end. Recent U.S. sanction relief on Rodríguez, including bank access restoration and formal recognition, alongside her military reshuffles dismissing figures like Vladimir Padrino López, have solidified chavista control amid internal rivalries from Diosdado Cabello. However, the Venezuelan Academy of Political and Social Sciences' April calls to resolve the presidency vacancy after three months fuel uncertainty over National Assembly prorogation, snap elections, or Maduro loyalist resurgence, sidelining opposition leaders like María Corina Machado despite their exile maneuvers.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트니콜라스 마두로 42.3%
델시 로드리게스 42%
마리아 코리나 마차도 8%
국가 원수 없음 <1%
$82,889,240 거래량
$82,889,240 거래량
니콜라스 마두로
42%
델시 로드리게스
42%
마리아 코리나 마차도
8%
국가 원수 없음
1%
에드문도 곤살레스
<1%
도널드 트럼프
<1%
마르코 루비오
<1%
디오스다도 카베요 론돈
<1%
디노라 피게라
<1%
호르헤 로드리게스
<1%
블라디미르 파드리노 로페스
<1%
피트 헥셋
<1%
프랭크 도노반
<1%
에반 페투스
<1%
댄 케인
<1%
리처드 그레넬
<1%
니콜라스 마두로 42.3%
델시 로드리게스 42%
마리아 코리나 마차도 8%
국가 원수 없음 <1%
$82,889,240 거래량
$82,889,240 거래량
니콜라스 마두로
42%
델시 로드리게스
42%
마리아 코리나 마차도
8%
국가 원수 없음
1%
에드문도 곤살레스
<1%
도널드 트럼프
<1%
마르코 루비오
<1%
디오스다도 카베요 론돈
<1%
디노라 피게라
<1%
호르헤 로드리게스
<1%
블라디미르 파드리노 로페스
<1%
피트 헥셋
<1%
프랭크 도노반
<1%
에반 페투스
<1%
댄 케인
<1%
리처드 그레넬
<1%
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
마켓 개설일: Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa.
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Delcy Rodríguez's position as Venezuela's interim president since Nicolás Maduro's January 2026 U.S. capture by special forces remains precarious, driving the razor-thin trader consensus between her at 42% and Maduro at 44.9% for head of state by year-end. Recent U.S. sanction relief on Rodríguez, including bank access restoration and formal recognition, alongside her military reshuffles dismissing figures like Vladimir Padrino López, have solidified chavista control amid internal rivalries from Diosdado Cabello. However, the Venezuelan Academy of Political and Social Sciences' April calls to resolve the presidency vacancy after three months fuel uncertainty over National Assembly prorogation, snap elections, or Maduro loyalist resurgence, sidelining opposition leaders like María Corina Machado despite their exile maneuvers.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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