Islam Makhachev's dominant second-round submission of Jack Della Maddalena at UFC 322 in November 2025 to claim the welterweight title drives his 73% implied probability as trader consensus to hold the belt through year's end, bolstered by his pound-for-pound dominance, elite grappling, and manager Ali Abdelaziz's confirmation of a July title defense against the top-ranked contender—potentially Ian Machado Garry or Michael Morales. Garry's recent victory over former champion Belal Muhammad elevates his 13.5% standing amid matchmaking calls, while Morales' undefeated streak and March hints at securing the next shot fuel his 9% share. The division's depth, including aging ex-champ Kamaru Usman at 3.5%, underscores risks like upsets in a packed 2026 schedule.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Islam Makhachev 73%
Michael Morales 9%
Ian Machado Garry 8%
Kamaru Usman 3.6%
$35,005 거래량
$35,005 거래량
Islam Makhachev
73%
Michael Morales
9%
Ian Machado Garry
14%
Kamaru Usman
4%
Carlos Prates
3%
Jack Della Maddalena
2%
Joaquin Buckley
1%
Sean Brady
1%
Belal Muhammad
1%
Shavkat Rakhmonov
<1%
Leon Edwards
<1%
Islam Makhachev 73%
Michael Morales 9%
Ian Machado Garry 8%
Kamaru Usman 3.6%
$35,005 거래량
$35,005 거래량
Islam Makhachev
73%
Michael Morales
9%
Ian Machado Garry
14%
Kamaru Usman
4%
Carlos Prates
3%
Jack Della Maddalena
2%
Joaquin Buckley
1%
Sean Brady
1%
Belal Muhammad
1%
Shavkat Rakhmonov
<1%
Leon Edwards
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
마켓 개설일: Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Islam Makhachev's dominant second-round submission of Jack Della Maddalena at UFC 322 in November 2025 to claim the welterweight title drives his 73% implied probability as trader consensus to hold the belt through year's end, bolstered by his pound-for-pound dominance, elite grappling, and manager Ali Abdelaziz's confirmation of a July title defense against the top-ranked contender—potentially Ian Machado Garry or Michael Morales. Garry's recent victory over former champion Belal Muhammad elevates his 13.5% standing amid matchmaking calls, while Morales' undefeated streak and March hints at securing the next shot fuel his 9% share. The division's depth, including aging ex-champ Kamaru Usman at 3.5%, underscores risks like upsets in a packed 2026 schedule.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문