Islam Makhachev's overwhelming 73% implied probability as UFC welterweight champion through 2026 stems from his dominant unanimous decision victory over Jack Della Maddalena at UFC 322 in November 2025, securing the belt as the promotion's newest two-division titleholder after vacating lightweight gold. The pound-for-pound king's grappling mastery and undefeated streak in championship bouts underpin trader consensus on his reign's longevity, with no title defense scheduled yet amid a quiet first quarter of 2026. Ian Machado Garry's 15.5% share reflects his ascent to #2 in rankings following a statement win over former champion Belal Muhammad late last year, positioning him as prime contender. Michael Morales (7.5%) gains from similar momentum against top-10 foes, while veterans like Kamaru Usman trail amid questions on activity and recent form.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트이슬람 마카체프 73%
마이클 모랄레스 13%
이안 마차도 게리 8%
카마루 우스만 4.1%
$35,047 거래량
$35,047 거래량
이슬람 마카체프
73%
마이클 모랄레스
13%
이안 마차도 게리
14%
카마루 우스만
4%
카를로스 프라테스
3%
호아킨 버클리
1%
잭 델라 마달레나
1%
션 브래디
1%
샵캇 라흐모노프
1%
벨랄 무하마드
1%
리온 에드워즈
<1%
이슬람 마카체프 73%
마이클 모랄레스 13%
이안 마차도 게리 8%
카마루 우스만 4.1%
$35,047 거래량
$35,047 거래량
이슬람 마카체프
73%
마이클 모랄레스
13%
이안 마차도 게리
14%
카마루 우스만
4%
카를로스 프라테스
3%
호아킨 버클리
1%
잭 델라 마달레나
1%
션 브래디
1%
샵캇 라흐모노프
1%
벨랄 무하마드
1%
리온 에드워즈
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
마켓 개설일: Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Islam Makhachev's overwhelming 73% implied probability as UFC welterweight champion through 2026 stems from his dominant unanimous decision victory over Jack Della Maddalena at UFC 322 in November 2025, securing the belt as the promotion's newest two-division titleholder after vacating lightweight gold. The pound-for-pound king's grappling mastery and undefeated streak in championship bouts underpin trader consensus on his reign's longevity, with no title defense scheduled yet amid a quiet first quarter of 2026. Ian Machado Garry's 15.5% share reflects his ascent to #2 in rankings following a statement win over former champion Belal Muhammad late last year, positioning him as prime contender. Michael Morales (7.5%) gains from similar momentum against top-10 foes, while veterans like Kamaru Usman trail amid questions on activity and recent form.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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