President Trump's April 1, 2026, threat to withdraw the United States from NATO—citing European allies' refusal to back US military actions against Iran, including blocking airspace—has driven recent trader focus on potential alliance fracture. No NATO member has issued a formal Article 13 denunciation notice requiring one year's advance deposit with the US as treaty depositary, and as of April 15, all 32 countries remain committed despite transatlantic strains over Iran operations like those near the Strait of Hormuz. A 2024 US law bars unilateral presidential withdrawal, demanding two-thirds Senate approval or congressional action amid bipartisan resistance from figures like Senators McConnell and Tillis. Upcoming White House discussions with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte could signal de-escalation, while historical precedents show no full exits since 1949.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$828,042 거래량
2026.06.30
2026년 6월 30일
5%
2026년 12월 31일
11%
$828,042 거래량
2026년 6월 30일
$455,185 거래량
5%
2026년 12월 31일
$95,815 거래량
11%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
A country's exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". That country must either withdraw or submit a notice of denunciation to trigger a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
A country's exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". That country must either withdraw or submit a notice of denunciation to trigger a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
A country's exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". That country must either withdraw or submit a notice of denunciation to trigger a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's April 1, 2026, threat to withdraw the United States from NATO—citing European allies' refusal to back US military actions against Iran, including blocking airspace—has driven recent trader focus on potential alliance fracture. No NATO member has issued a formal Article 13 denunciation notice requiring one year's advance deposit with the US as treaty depositary, and as of April 15, all 32 countries remain committed despite transatlantic strains over Iran operations like those near the Strait of Hormuz. A 2024 US law bars unilateral presidential withdrawal, demanding two-thirds Senate approval or congressional action amid bipartisan resistance from figures like Senators McConnell and Tillis. Upcoming White House discussions with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte could signal de-escalation, while historical precedents show no full exits since 1949.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
A country's exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". That country must either withdraw or submit a notice of denunciation to trigger a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
A country's exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". That country must either withdraw or submit a notice of denunciation to trigger a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Oct 9, 2025, 6:24 PM ET
거래량
$828,042종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Oct 9, 2025, 6:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
A country's exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". That country must either withdraw or submit a notice of denunciation to trigger a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
A country's exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". That country must either withdraw or submit a notice of denunciation to trigger a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
A country's exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". That country must either withdraw or submit a notice of denunciation to trigger a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's April 1, 2026, threat to withdraw the United States from NATO—citing European allies' refusal to back US military actions against Iran, including blocking airspace—has driven recent trader focus on potential alliance fracture. No NATO member has issued a formal Article 13 denunciation notice requiring one year's advance deposit with the US as treaty depositary, and as of April 15, all 32 countries remain committed despite transatlantic strains over Iran operations like those near the Strait of Hormuz. A 2024 US law bars unilateral presidential withdrawal, demanding two-thirds Senate approval or congressional action amid bipartisan resistance from figures like Senators McConnell and Tillis. Upcoming White House discussions with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte could signal de-escalation, while historical precedents show no full exits since 1949.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
A country's exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". That country must either withdraw or submit a notice of denunciation to trigger a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty.
A country's exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". That country must either withdraw or submit a notice of denunciation to trigger a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$828,042종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Oct 9, 2025, 6:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's April 1, 2026, threat to withdraw the United States from NATO—citing European allies' refusal to back US military actions against Iran, including blocking airspace—has driven recent trader focus on potential alliance fracture. No NATO member has issued a formal Article 13 denunciation notice requiring one year's advance deposit with the US as treaty depositary, and as of April 15, all 32 countries remain committed despite transatlantic strains over Iran operations like those near the Strait of Hormuz. A 2024 US law bars unilateral presidential withdrawal, demanding two-thirds Senate approval or congressional action amid bipartisan resistance from figures like Senators McConnell and Tillis. Upcoming White House discussions with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte could signal de-escalation, while historical precedents show no full exits since 1949.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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