Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 72% implied probability for no AWS service disruption by April 30, driven by the cloud provider's robust multi-region redundancy and high-availability architecture, which has stabilized following March 2026 physical damage to Middle East data centers (ME-SOUTH-1 Bahrain and ME-CENTRAL-1 UAE) from reported drone strikes. Those regional incidents, impacting services like Amazon EC2, S3, and Lambda, saw quick traffic rerouting and partial recoveries by early March, with no global outages or open issues on the AWS Health Dashboard as of April 17. Minor user-reported hiccups in us-east-1 CodeBuild and Bahrain persist but fall short of dashboard-listed disruptions. With 12 days remaining, traders weigh AWS's 99.99% uptime SLA against rare black-swan risks like cyberattacks or supply chain failures, absent fresh catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAWS service disrupted by April 30?
AWS service disrupted by April 30?
NOWE
NOWE
Apr 30, 2026
NOWE
NOWE
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Amazon Web services experiences any service interruption event with a severity classification of “disrupted” by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The severity classification of an AWS service interruption event may be found on the AWS Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status) when the relevant event is selected under “List of events.” Only publicly visible service events listed on the AWS Health Dashboard status page qualify. Account-specific AWS Health events do not count.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues whose severity AWS classifies as “disrupted.”
This market will resolve as soon as the severity of any service interruption is classified as “disrupted”, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions to the severity classification of any event to a classification of “disrupted” will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official severity classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Amazon Web Services Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status).Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 72% implied probability for no AWS service disruption by April 30, driven by the cloud provider's robust multi-region redundancy and high-availability architecture, which has stabilized following March 2026 physical damage to Middle East data centers (ME-SOUTH-1 Bahrain and ME-CENTRAL-1 UAE) from reported drone strikes. Those regional incidents, impacting services like Amazon EC2, S3, and Lambda, saw quick traffic rerouting and partial recoveries by early March, with no global outages or open issues on the AWS Health Dashboard as of April 17. Minor user-reported hiccups in us-east-1 CodeBuild and Bahrain persist but fall short of dashboard-listed disruptions. With 12 days remaining, traders weigh AWS's 99.99% uptime SLA against rare black-swan risks like cyberattacks or supply chain failures, absent fresh catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Amazon Web services experiences any service interruption event with a severity classification of “disrupted” by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The severity classification of an AWS service interruption event may be found on the AWS Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status) when the relevant event is selected under “List of events.” Only publicly visible service events listed on the AWS Health Dashboard status page qualify. Account-specific AWS Health events do not count.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues whose severity AWS classifies as “disrupted.”
This market will resolve as soon as the severity of any service interruption is classified as “disrupted”, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions to the severity classification of any event to a classification of “disrupted” will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official severity classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Amazon Web Services Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status).
The severity classification of an AWS service interruption event may be found on the AWS Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status) when the relevant event is selected under “List of events.” Only publicly visible service events listed on the AWS Health Dashboard status page qualify. Account-specific AWS Health events do not count.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues whose severity AWS classifies as “disrupted.”
This market will resolve as soon as the severity of any service interruption is classified as “disrupted”, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions to the severity classification of any event to a classification of “disrupted” will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official severity classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Amazon Web Services Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status).
Rynek otwarty: Mar 24, 2026, 12:59 PM ET
Wolumen
$5,614Data zakończenia
Apr 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 24, 2026, 12:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Amazon Web services experiences any service interruption event with a severity classification of “disrupted” by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The severity classification of an AWS service interruption event may be found on the AWS Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status) when the relevant event is selected under “List of events.” Only publicly visible service events listed on the AWS Health Dashboard status page qualify. Account-specific AWS Health events do not count.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues whose severity AWS classifies as “disrupted.”
This market will resolve as soon as the severity of any service interruption is classified as “disrupted”, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions to the severity classification of any event to a classification of “disrupted” will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official severity classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Amazon Web Services Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status).Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 72% implied probability for no AWS service disruption by April 30, driven by the cloud provider's robust multi-region redundancy and high-availability architecture, which has stabilized following March 2026 physical damage to Middle East data centers (ME-SOUTH-1 Bahrain and ME-CENTRAL-1 UAE) from reported drone strikes. Those regional incidents, impacting services like Amazon EC2, S3, and Lambda, saw quick traffic rerouting and partial recoveries by early March, with no global outages or open issues on the AWS Health Dashboard as of April 17. Minor user-reported hiccups in us-east-1 CodeBuild and Bahrain persist but fall short of dashboard-listed disruptions. With 12 days remaining, traders weigh AWS's 99.99% uptime SLA against rare black-swan risks like cyberattacks or supply chain failures, absent fresh catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Amazon Web services experiences any service interruption event with a severity classification of “disrupted” by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The severity classification of an AWS service interruption event may be found on the AWS Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status) when the relevant event is selected under “List of events.” Only publicly visible service events listed on the AWS Health Dashboard status page qualify. Account-specific AWS Health events do not count.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues whose severity AWS classifies as “disrupted.”
This market will resolve as soon as the severity of any service interruption is classified as “disrupted”, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions to the severity classification of any event to a classification of “disrupted” will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official severity classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Amazon Web Services Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status).
The severity classification of an AWS service interruption event may be found on the AWS Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status) when the relevant event is selected under “List of events.” Only publicly visible service events listed on the AWS Health Dashboard status page qualify. Account-specific AWS Health events do not count.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues whose severity AWS classifies as “disrupted.”
This market will resolve as soon as the severity of any service interruption is classified as “disrupted”, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions to the severity classification of any event to a classification of “disrupted” will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official severity classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Amazon Web Services Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status).
Wolumen
$5,614Data zakończenia
Apr 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 24, 2026, 12:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 72% implied probability for no AWS service disruption by April 30, driven by the cloud provider's robust multi-region redundancy and high-availability architecture, which has stabilized following March 2026 physical damage to Middle East data centers (ME-SOUTH-1 Bahrain and ME-CENTRAL-1 UAE) from reported drone strikes. Those regional incidents, impacting services like Amazon EC2, S3, and Lambda, saw quick traffic rerouting and partial recoveries by early March, with no global outages or open issues on the AWS Health Dashboard as of April 17. Minor user-reported hiccups in us-east-1 CodeBuild and Bahrain persist but fall short of dashboard-listed disruptions. With 12 days remaining, traders weigh AWS's 99.99% uptime SLA against rare black-swan risks like cyberattacks or supply chain failures, absent fresh catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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