Traders assign an 84.5% implied probability to no AWS service disruption by June 30 because major outages remain infrequent despite occasional regional events. AWS recorded multiple incidents in 2025, including a significant US-EAST-1 DynamoDB DNS failure in October, yet most stayed contained and recovery timelines have improved through network redesigns and redundancy investments. As of mid-June 2026, the platform shows stable global operations outside limited UAE issues, while recent announcements emphasize new AI features, Graviton processors, and FinOps tools rather than remediation. With only 13 days remaining, the short window and lack of credible signals for imminent widespread impact reinforce the current market consensus on service continuity.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAWS service disrupted by June 30?
AWS service disrupted by June 30?
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 30, 2026
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Amazon Web services experiences any service interruption event with a severity classification of “disrupted” by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The severity classification of an AWS service interruption event may be found on the AWS Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status) when the relevant event is selected under “List of events.” Only publicly visible service events listed on the AWS Health Dashboard status page qualify. Account-specific AWS Health events do not count.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues whose severity AWS classifies as “disrupted.”
This market will resolve as soon as the severity of any service interruption is classified as “disrupted”, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions to the severity classification of any event to a classification of “disrupted” will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official severity classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Amazon Web Services Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status).Traders assign an 84.5% implied probability to no AWS service disruption by June 30 because major outages remain infrequent despite occasional regional events. AWS recorded multiple incidents in 2025, including a significant US-EAST-1 DynamoDB DNS failure in October, yet most stayed contained and recovery timelines have improved through network redesigns and redundancy investments. As of mid-June 2026, the platform shows stable global operations outside limited UAE issues, while recent announcements emphasize new AI features, Graviton processors, and FinOps tools rather than remediation. With only 13 days remaining, the short window and lack of credible signals for imminent widespread impact reinforce the current market consensus on service continuity.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Amazon Web services experiences any service interruption event with a severity classification of “disrupted” by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The severity classification of an AWS service interruption event may be found on the AWS Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status) when the relevant event is selected under “List of events.” Only publicly visible service events listed on the AWS Health Dashboard status page qualify. Account-specific AWS Health events do not count.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues whose severity AWS classifies as “disrupted.”
This market will resolve as soon as the severity of any service interruption is classified as “disrupted”, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions to the severity classification of any event to a classification of “disrupted” will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official severity classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Amazon Web Services Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status).
The severity classification of an AWS service interruption event may be found on the AWS Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status) when the relevant event is selected under “List of events.” Only publicly visible service events listed on the AWS Health Dashboard status page qualify. Account-specific AWS Health events do not count.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues whose severity AWS classifies as “disrupted.”
This market will resolve as soon as the severity of any service interruption is classified as “disrupted”, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions to the severity classification of any event to a classification of “disrupted” will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official severity classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Amazon Web Services Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status).
Rynek otwarty: Apr 30, 2026, 3:20 PM ET
Wolumen
$8,078Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 30, 2026, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Amazon Web services experiences any service interruption event with a severity classification of “disrupted” by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The severity classification of an AWS service interruption event may be found on the AWS Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status) when the relevant event is selected under “List of events.” Only publicly visible service events listed on the AWS Health Dashboard status page qualify. Account-specific AWS Health events do not count.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues whose severity AWS classifies as “disrupted.”
This market will resolve as soon as the severity of any service interruption is classified as “disrupted”, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions to the severity classification of any event to a classification of “disrupted” will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official severity classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Amazon Web Services Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status).Traders assign an 84.5% implied probability to no AWS service disruption by June 30 because major outages remain infrequent despite occasional regional events. AWS recorded multiple incidents in 2025, including a significant US-EAST-1 DynamoDB DNS failure in October, yet most stayed contained and recovery timelines have improved through network redesigns and redundancy investments. As of mid-June 2026, the platform shows stable global operations outside limited UAE issues, while recent announcements emphasize new AI features, Graviton processors, and FinOps tools rather than remediation. With only 13 days remaining, the short window and lack of credible signals for imminent widespread impact reinforce the current market consensus on service continuity.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Amazon Web services experiences any service interruption event with a severity classification of “disrupted” by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The severity classification of an AWS service interruption event may be found on the AWS Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status) when the relevant event is selected under “List of events.” Only publicly visible service events listed on the AWS Health Dashboard status page qualify. Account-specific AWS Health events do not count.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues whose severity AWS classifies as “disrupted.”
This market will resolve as soon as the severity of any service interruption is classified as “disrupted”, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions to the severity classification of any event to a classification of “disrupted” will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official severity classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Amazon Web Services Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status).
The severity classification of an AWS service interruption event may be found on the AWS Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status) when the relevant event is selected under “List of events.” Only publicly visible service events listed on the AWS Health Dashboard status page qualify. Account-specific AWS Health events do not count.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues whose severity AWS classifies as “disrupted.”
This market will resolve as soon as the severity of any service interruption is classified as “disrupted”, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions to the severity classification of any event to a classification of “disrupted” will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official severity classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Amazon Web Services Health Dashboard (https://health.aws.amazon.com/health/status).
Wolumen
$8,078Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 30, 2026, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign an 84.5% implied probability to no AWS service disruption by June 30 because major outages remain infrequent despite occasional regional events. AWS recorded multiple incidents in 2025, including a significant US-EAST-1 DynamoDB DNS failure in October, yet most stayed contained and recovery timelines have improved through network redesigns and redundancy investments. As of mid-June 2026, the platform shows stable global operations outside limited UAE issues, while recent announcements emphasize new AI features, Graviton processors, and FinOps tools rather than remediation. With only 13 days remaining, the short window and lack of credible signals for imminent widespread impact reinforce the current market consensus on service continuity.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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