Recent geopolitical supply disruptions in the Middle East, including the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and roughly 10.5 million barrels per day in shut-ins earlier this year, have tightened balances and supported WTI crude near $93–95 per barrel as of June 2. EIA data project sharp global inventory draws averaging 8.5 million barrels per day in the second quarter, which has helped sustain prices despite a roughly 11% decline over the past month. Modest non-OPEC supply growth and demand expansion of about 1 million barrels per day continue to influence longer-term balances, while a June 7 OPEC+ meeting and weekly EIA inventory reports represent near-term catalysts. Market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on whether these factors sustain levels through month-end amid gradual flow recovery expected later in June.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCzy ropa naftowa (CL) uderzy__ do końca czerwca?
$22,292,440 Wol.
↑ 200 USD
1%
↑ 175 USD
2%
↑ 150 USD
2%
↑ 140 USD
4%
↑ 130 USD
9%
↑ 120 USD
13%
↑ 115 USD
19%
↑ $110
27%
↑ $105
42%
↓ $85
57%
↓ 80 USD
34%
↓ 70 USD
7%
↓ 60 USD
2%
↓ 55 USD
1%
↓ 52 USD
1%
↓ 50 USD
1%
↓ 47 USD
1%
↓ 45 USD
1%
↓ 40 USD
1%
↓ 35 USD
<1%
$22,292,440 Wol.
↑ 200 USD
1%
↑ 175 USD
2%
↑ 150 USD
2%
↑ 140 USD
4%
↑ 130 USD
9%
↑ 120 USD
13%
↑ 115 USD
19%
↑ $110
27%
↑ $105
42%
↓ $85
57%
↓ 80 USD
34%
↓ 70 USD
7%
↓ 60 USD
2%
↓ 55 USD
1%
↓ 52 USD
1%
↓ 50 USD
1%
↓ 47 USD
1%
↓ 45 USD
1%
↓ 40 USD
1%
↓ 35 USD
<1%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Rynek otwarty: Mar 3, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.htmlResolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.htmlResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent geopolitical supply disruptions in the Middle East, including the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and roughly 10.5 million barrels per day in shut-ins earlier this year, have tightened balances and supported WTI crude near $93–95 per barrel as of June 2. EIA data project sharp global inventory draws averaging 8.5 million barrels per day in the second quarter, which has helped sustain prices despite a roughly 11% decline over the past month. Modest non-OPEC supply growth and demand expansion of about 1 million barrels per day continue to influence longer-term balances, while a June 7 OPEC+ meeting and weekly EIA inventory reports represent near-term catalysts. Market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on whether these factors sustain levels through month-end amid gradual flow recovery expected later in June.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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