Elevated U.S. policy rates near 3.50–3.75 percent, which have bolstered Treasury yields and the dollar, represent the primary driver behind gold futures trading near $4,500 per ounce after retreating from January 2026 peaks above $5,500. This environment has tempered near-term price momentum despite persistent central bank buying—particularly from China—and safe-haven demand tied to Middle East tensions. Recent hot April CPI readings and labor data have led markets to price out imminent Federal Reserve easing, aligning trader consensus with the highest implied probabilities for June settlement in the $4,200–$5,000 range. Focus now turns to the June 16–17 FOMC meeting and upcoming inflation and payroll releases as potential catalysts for shifts in rate expectations and gold’s directional bias.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoW jakim zakresie Gold (GC) rozliczy się w czerwcu?
4 200–4 600 USD 43.0%
4 600–5 000 USD 29%
3 800–4 200 USD 13.0%
5 000–5 400 USD 5.7%
$998,562 Wol.
$998,562 Wol.
<3 800 USD
2%
3 800–4 200 USD
13%
4 200–4 600 USD
43%
4 600–5 000 USD
29%
5 000–5 400 USD
6%
5 400-5 800 USD
2%
5 800–6 200 USD
1%
>6 200 USD
1%
4 200–4 600 USD 43.0%
4 600–5 000 USD 29%
3 800–4 200 USD 13.0%
5 000–5 400 USD 5.7%
$998,562 Wol.
$998,562 Wol.
<3 800 USD
2%
3 800–4 200 USD
13%
4 200–4 600 USD
43%
4 600–5 000 USD
29%
5 000–5 400 USD
6%
5 400-5 800 USD
2%
5 800–6 200 USD
1%
>6 200 USD
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Elevated U.S. policy rates near 3.50–3.75 percent, which have bolstered Treasury yields and the dollar, represent the primary driver behind gold futures trading near $4,500 per ounce after retreating from January 2026 peaks above $5,500. This environment has tempered near-term price momentum despite persistent central bank buying—particularly from China—and safe-haven demand tied to Middle East tensions. Recent hot April CPI readings and labor data have led markets to price out imminent Federal Reserve easing, aligning trader consensus with the highest implied probabilities for June settlement in the $4,200–$5,000 range. Focus now turns to the June 16–17 FOMC meeting and upcoming inflation and payroll releases as potential catalysts for shifts in rate expectations and gold’s directional bias.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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