DeepSeek's official launch of the V4 preview series today—featuring the 1.6T-parameter DeepSeek-V4-Pro and 284B DeepSeek-V4-Flash mixture-of-experts models—has solidified trader consensus at 97.9% for release on or before April 24, with both now live on the web platform, API, and Hugging Face under a permissive MIT license. Supporting this positioning are standout benchmarks rivaling closed-source leaders like GPT-5.4 and Claude Opus 4.6, including 93.5% on LiveCodeBench, 80.6% on SWE Verified, and a 1M-token context window at significantly lower inference costs via innovations like hybrid compressed attention. Weeks of buildup from Reuters reports on Huawei chip integration and April rollout rumors further aligned expectations. While the preview status drives near-certainty, a strict market resolution demanding full non-preview weights could introduce minor delays, though API accessibility minimizes this risk.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoDeepSeek V4 released on...?
DeepSeek V4 released on...?
On or prior to April 24 99.0%
April 25 10%
May 12 7.1%
April 28 5.1%
NOWE
$30,209 Wol.
NOWE
$30,209 Wol.
May 15, 2026
On or prior to April 24
99%
April 25
10%
April 26
1%
April 27
1%
April 28
5%
April 29
1%
April 30
1%
May 1
<1%
May 2
1%
May 3
<1%
May 4
<1%
May 5
<1%
May 6
<1%
May 7
<1%
May 8
1%
May 9
1%
May 10
<1%
May 11
<1%
May 12
7%
May 13
<1%
May 14
<1%
May 15
2%
Not released by May 15
<1%
On or prior to April 24 99.0%
April 25 10%
May 12 7.1%
April 28 5.1%
NOWE
$30,209 Wol.
NOWE
$30,209 Wol.
May 15, 2026
On or prior to April 24
$15,716 Wol.
99%
April 25
$193 Wol.
10%
April 26
$150 Wol.
1%
April 27
$192 Wol.
1%
April 28
$508 Wol.
5%
April 29
$485 Wol.
1%
April 30
$524 Wol.
1%
May 1
$807 Wol.
<1%
May 2
$633 Wol.
1%
May 3
$654 Wol.
<1%
May 4
$653 Wol.
<1%
May 5
$672 Wol.
<1%
May 6
$992 Wol.
<1%
May 7
$708 Wol.
<1%
May 8
$500 Wol.
1%
May 9
$329 Wol.
1%
May 10
$679 Wol.
<1%
May 11
$535 Wol.
<1%
May 12
$451 Wol.
7%
May 13
$450 Wol.
<1%
May 14
$450 Wol.
<1%
May 15
$401 Wol.
2%
Not released by May 15
$4,367 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which the next DeepSeek V model is made available to the general public.
Intermediate versions (e.g., DeepSeek-V3.5) will not count; however, versions such as DeepSeek V4 or V5 would count.
The "next DeepSeek V model" refers to the next major release in the DeepSeek V series, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3.
Only releases representing a core version progression in the DeepSeek V series, “clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3,” will qualify. Other models, such as derivative models (e.g., "V4-Lite," "V4-Mini"), task-specialized models, R-series reasoning models, and experimental or preview releases (e.g., "V4-Exp," "V4-Preview"), that are not positioned as the new V flagship model, will not qualify.
To qualify, the next DeepSeek V model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.DeepSeek's official launch of the V4 preview series today—featuring the 1.6T-parameter DeepSeek-V4-Pro and 284B DeepSeek-V4-Flash mixture-of-experts models—has solidified trader consensus at 97.9% for release on or before April 24, with both now live on the web platform, API, and Hugging Face under a permissive MIT license. Supporting this positioning are standout benchmarks rivaling closed-source leaders like GPT-5.4 and Claude Opus 4.6, including 93.5% on LiveCodeBench, 80.6% on SWE Verified, and a 1M-token context window at significantly lower inference costs via innovations like hybrid compressed attention. Weeks of buildup from Reuters reports on Huawei chip integration and April rollout rumors further aligned expectations. While the preview status drives near-certainty, a strict market resolution demanding full non-preview weights could introduce minor delays, though API accessibility minimizes this risk.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which the next DeepSeek V model is made available to the general public.
Intermediate versions (e.g., DeepSeek-V3.5) will not count; however, versions such as DeepSeek V4 or V5 would count.
The "next DeepSeek V model" refers to the next major release in the DeepSeek V series, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3.
Only releases representing a core version progression in the DeepSeek V series, “clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3,” will qualify. Other models, such as derivative models (e.g., "V4-Lite," "V4-Mini"), task-specialized models, R-series reasoning models, and experimental or preview releases (e.g., "V4-Exp," "V4-Preview"), that are not positioned as the new V flagship model, will not qualify.
To qualify, the next DeepSeek V model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Intermediate versions (e.g., DeepSeek-V3.5) will not count; however, versions such as DeepSeek V4 or V5 would count.
The "next DeepSeek V model" refers to the next major release in the DeepSeek V series, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3.
Only releases representing a core version progression in the DeepSeek V series, “clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3,” will qualify. Other models, such as derivative models (e.g., "V4-Lite," "V4-Mini"), task-specialized models, R-series reasoning models, and experimental or preview releases (e.g., "V4-Exp," "V4-Preview"), that are not positioned as the new V flagship model, will not qualify.
To qualify, the next DeepSeek V model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 23, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Wolumen
$30,209Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 23, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which the next DeepSeek V model is made available to the general public.
Intermediate versions (e.g., DeepSeek-V3.5) will not count; however, versions such as DeepSeek V4 or V5 would count.
The "next DeepSeek V model" refers to the next major release in the DeepSeek V series, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3.
Only releases representing a core version progression in the DeepSeek V series, “clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3,” will qualify. Other models, such as derivative models (e.g., "V4-Lite," "V4-Mini"), task-specialized models, R-series reasoning models, and experimental or preview releases (e.g., "V4-Exp," "V4-Preview"), that are not positioned as the new V flagship model, will not qualify.
To qualify, the next DeepSeek V model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.DeepSeek's official launch of the V4 preview series today—featuring the 1.6T-parameter DeepSeek-V4-Pro and 284B DeepSeek-V4-Flash mixture-of-experts models—has solidified trader consensus at 97.9% for release on or before April 24, with both now live on the web platform, API, and Hugging Face under a permissive MIT license. Supporting this positioning are standout benchmarks rivaling closed-source leaders like GPT-5.4 and Claude Opus 4.6, including 93.5% on LiveCodeBench, 80.6% on SWE Verified, and a 1M-token context window at significantly lower inference costs via innovations like hybrid compressed attention. Weeks of buildup from Reuters reports on Huawei chip integration and April rollout rumors further aligned expectations. While the preview status drives near-certainty, a strict market resolution demanding full non-preview weights could introduce minor delays, though API accessibility minimizes this risk.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which the next DeepSeek V model is made available to the general public.
Intermediate versions (e.g., DeepSeek-V3.5) will not count; however, versions such as DeepSeek V4 or V5 would count.
The "next DeepSeek V model" refers to the next major release in the DeepSeek V series, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3.
Only releases representing a core version progression in the DeepSeek V series, “clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3,” will qualify. Other models, such as derivative models (e.g., "V4-Lite," "V4-Mini"), task-specialized models, R-series reasoning models, and experimental or preview releases (e.g., "V4-Exp," "V4-Preview"), that are not positioned as the new V flagship model, will not qualify.
To qualify, the next DeepSeek V model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Intermediate versions (e.g., DeepSeek-V3.5) will not count; however, versions such as DeepSeek V4 or V5 would count.
The "next DeepSeek V model" refers to the next major release in the DeepSeek V series, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3.
Only releases representing a core version progression in the DeepSeek V series, “clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3,” will qualify. Other models, such as derivative models (e.g., "V4-Lite," "V4-Mini"), task-specialized models, R-series reasoning models, and experimental or preview releases (e.g., "V4-Exp," "V4-Preview"), that are not positioned as the new V flagship model, will not qualify.
To qualify, the next DeepSeek V model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$30,209Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 23, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...DeepSeek's official launch of the V4 preview series today—featuring the 1.6T-parameter DeepSeek-V4-Pro and 284B DeepSeek-V4-Flash mixture-of-experts models—has solidified trader consensus at 97.9% for release on or before April 24, with both now live on the web platform, API, and Hugging Face under a permissive MIT license. Supporting this positioning are standout benchmarks rivaling closed-source leaders like GPT-5.4 and Claude Opus 4.6, including 93.5% on LiveCodeBench, 80.6% on SWE Verified, and a 1M-token context window at significantly lower inference costs via innovations like hybrid compressed attention. Weeks of buildup from Reuters reports on Huawei chip integration and April rollout rumors further aligned expectations. While the preview status drives near-certainty, a strict market resolution demanding full non-preview weights could introduce minor delays, though API accessibility minimizes this risk.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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