Mercedes holds a commanding lead in the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship, reflected in the 92% implied probability, driven by an early-season surge under the new technical regulations that delivered multiple wins, poles, and consistent points from Kimi Antonelli and George Russell. The team’s power unit and initial car package created a substantial gap, now around 87 points over Ferrari after roughly a dozen races. Ferrari has narrowed the deficit through targeted upgrades and strong results from Lewis Hamilton and Charles Leclerc, while McLaren’s recent podiums and wins highlight ongoing development competition. Reliability setbacks and slower upgrade pace have tempered Mercedes’ margin, yet the points buffer leaves limited realistic paths for challengers absent major late-season swings in form or mechanical issues.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMercedes 92%
Ferrari 7.0%
McLaren <1%
Red Bull Racing <1%
$28,662,147 Wol.
$28,662,147 Wol.
Dec 5, 2026
Mercedes
92%
Ferrari
7%
McLaren
1%
Red Bull Racing
<1%
Williams
<1%
Aston Martin
<1%
Audi
<1%
Cadillac
<1%
Racing Bulls
<1%
Haas
<1%
Alpine
<1%
Mercedes 92%
Ferrari 7.0%
McLaren <1%
Red Bull Racing <1%
$28,662,147 Wol.
$28,662,147 Wol.
Dec 5, 2026
Mercedes
$1,093,953 Wol.
92%
Ferrari
$795,472 Wol.
7%
McLaren
$1,818,610 Wol.
1%
Red Bull Racing
$974,859 Wol.
<1%
Williams
$3,809,288 Wol.
<1%
Aston Martin
$3,305,157 Wol.
<1%
Audi
$3,245,476 Wol.
<1%
Cadillac
$3,708,658 Wol.
<1%
Racing Bulls
$3,242,577 Wol.
<1%
Haas
$3,317,135 Wol.
<1%
Alpine
$3,350,962 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes holds a commanding lead in the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship, reflected in the 92% implied probability, driven by an early-season surge under the new technical regulations that delivered multiple wins, poles, and consistent points from Kimi Antonelli and George Russell. The team’s power unit and initial car package created a substantial gap, now around 87 points over Ferrari after roughly a dozen races. Ferrari has narrowed the deficit through targeted upgrades and strong results from Lewis Hamilton and Charles Leclerc, while McLaren’s recent podiums and wins highlight ongoing development competition. Reliability setbacks and slower upgrade pace have tempered Mercedes’ margin, yet the points buffer leaves limited realistic paths for challengers absent major late-season swings in form or mechanical issues.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Wolumen
$28,662,147Data zakończenia
Dec 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.Mercedes holds a commanding lead in the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship, reflected in the 92% implied probability, driven by an early-season surge under the new technical regulations that delivered multiple wins, poles, and consistent points from Kimi Antonelli and George Russell. The team’s power unit and initial car package created a substantial gap, now around 87 points over Ferrari after roughly a dozen races. Ferrari has narrowed the deficit through targeted upgrades and strong results from Lewis Hamilton and Charles Leclerc, while McLaren’s recent podiums and wins highlight ongoing development competition. Reliability setbacks and slower upgrade pace have tempered Mercedes’ margin, yet the points buffer leaves limited realistic paths for challengers absent major late-season swings in form or mechanical issues.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Wolumen
$28,662,147Data zakończenia
Dec 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes holds a commanding lead in the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship, reflected in the 92% implied probability, driven by an early-season surge under the new technical regulations that delivered multiple wins, poles, and consistent points from Kimi Antonelli and George Russell. The team’s power unit and initial car package created a substantial gap, now around 87 points over Ferrari after roughly a dozen races. Ferrari has narrowed the deficit through targeted upgrades and strong results from Lewis Hamilton and Charles Leclerc, while McLaren’s recent podiums and wins highlight ongoing development competition. Reliability setbacks and slower upgrade pace have tempered Mercedes’ margin, yet the points buffer leaves limited realistic paths for challengers absent major late-season swings in form or mechanical issues.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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