Current European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) ensemble guidance positions Amsterdam’s July 12 maximum near 26–27 °C, reflecting a modest warming trend under light westerly flow, limited cloud cover, and typical North Sea boundary-layer conditions. Model spread at the two-day horizon remains roughly ±2 °C, driven by small uncertainties in Atlantic trough placement and diurnal heating rates. This distribution aligns with the market’s near-even split between the 26 °C and 27 °C contracts, while lower-probability tails capture scenarios of increased marine stratus or stronger onshore flow that could cap highs at 24–25 °C or allow brief clearing to 28–29 °C. Updated model runs and official KNMI observations on July 11–12 will provide the decisive data ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on July 12?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on July 12?
26°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$52,285 Wol.
$52,285 Wol.
Jul 12, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$52,285 Wol.
$52,285 Wol.
Jul 12, 2026
23°C or below
$4,499 Wol.
No
24°C
$9,941 Wol.
No
25°C
$11,922 Wol.
No
26°C
$6,603 Wol.
Yes
27°C
$5,540 Wol.
No
28°C
$6,966 Wol.
No
29°C
$3,041 Wol.
No
30°C
$1,229 Wol.
No
31°C
$978 Wol.
No
32°C
$579 Wol.
No
33°C or higher
$988 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) ensemble guidance positions Amsterdam’s July 12 maximum near 26–27 °C, reflecting a modest warming trend under light westerly flow, limited cloud cover, and typical North Sea boundary-layer conditions. Model spread at the two-day horizon remains roughly ±2 °C, driven by small uncertainties in Atlantic trough placement and diurnal heating rates. This distribution aligns with the market’s near-even split between the 26 °C and 27 °C contracts, while lower-probability tails capture scenarios of increased marine stratus or stronger onshore flow that could cap highs at 24–25 °C or allow brief clearing to 28–29 °C. Updated model runs and official KNMI observations on July 11–12 will provide the decisive data ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$52,285Data zakończenia
Jul 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) ensemble guidance positions Amsterdam’s July 12 maximum near 26–27 °C, reflecting a modest warming trend under light westerly flow, limited cloud cover, and typical North Sea boundary-layer conditions. Model spread at the two-day horizon remains roughly ±2 °C, driven by small uncertainties in Atlantic trough placement and diurnal heating rates. This distribution aligns with the market’s near-even split between the 26 °C and 27 °C contracts, while lower-probability tails capture scenarios of increased marine stratus or stronger onshore flow that could cap highs at 24–25 °C or allow brief clearing to 28–29 °C. Updated model runs and official KNMI observations on July 11–12 will provide the decisive data ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$52,285Data zakończenia
Jul 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Current European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) ensemble guidance positions Amsterdam’s July 12 maximum near 26–27 °C, reflecting a modest warming trend under light westerly flow, limited cloud cover, and typical North Sea boundary-layer conditions. Model spread at the two-day horizon remains roughly ±2 °C, driven by small uncertainties in Atlantic trough placement and diurnal heating rates. This distribution aligns with the market’s near-even split between the 26 °C and 27 °C contracts, while lower-probability tails capture scenarios of increased marine stratus or stronger onshore flow that could cap highs at 24–25 °C or allow brief clearing to 28–29 °C. Updated model runs and official KNMI observations on July 11–12 will provide the decisive data ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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