Latest ECMWF and KNMI model runs point to a modest high near 20°C in Amsterdam on July 18, driven by stable high pressure and limited warm-air advection over the North Sea. Ensemble spreads remain tight around 19–21°C, with modest disagreement on boundary-layer mixing and daytime cloud cover creating the close market pricing between those buckets. Historical July maxima average roughly 22°C, but current steering patterns favor a slightly cooler regime. Updated model cycles and any observed shifts in sea-surface temperatures or upper-level ridging over the coming 48 hours will be the key catalysts that could tip probabilities toward 19°C or 21°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on July 18?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on July 18?
19°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$70,854 Wol.
$70,854 Wol.
Jul 18, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$70,854 Wol.
$70,854 Wol.
Jul 18, 2026
16°C or below
$6,917 Wol.
No
17°C
$9,776 Wol.
No
18°C
$10,250 Wol.
No
19°C
$17,835 Wol.
Yes
20°C
$13,128 Wol.
No
21°C
$7,726 Wol.
No
22°C
$3,073 Wol.
No
23°C
$849 Wol.
No
24°C
$702 Wol.
No
25°C
$298 Wol.
No
26°C or higher
$300 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ECMWF and KNMI model runs point to a modest high near 20°C in Amsterdam on July 18, driven by stable high pressure and limited warm-air advection over the North Sea. Ensemble spreads remain tight around 19–21°C, with modest disagreement on boundary-layer mixing and daytime cloud cover creating the close market pricing between those buckets. Historical July maxima average roughly 22°C, but current steering patterns favor a slightly cooler regime. Updated model cycles and any observed shifts in sea-surface temperatures or upper-level ridging over the coming 48 hours will be the key catalysts that could tip probabilities toward 19°C or 21°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 16, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$70,854Data zakończenia
Jul 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 16, 2026, 1:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ECMWF and KNMI model runs point to a modest high near 20°C in Amsterdam on July 18, driven by stable high pressure and limited warm-air advection over the North Sea. Ensemble spreads remain tight around 19–21°C, with modest disagreement on boundary-layer mixing and daytime cloud cover creating the close market pricing between those buckets. Historical July maxima average roughly 22°C, but current steering patterns favor a slightly cooler regime. Updated model cycles and any observed shifts in sea-surface temperatures or upper-level ridging over the coming 48 hours will be the key catalysts that could tip probabilities toward 19°C or 21°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$70,854Data zakończenia
Jul 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 16, 2026, 1:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Latest ECMWF and KNMI model runs point to a modest high near 20°C in Amsterdam on July 18, driven by stable high pressure and limited warm-air advection over the North Sea. Ensemble spreads remain tight around 19–21°C, with modest disagreement on boundary-layer mixing and daytime cloud cover creating the close market pricing between those buckets. Historical July maxima average roughly 22°C, but current steering patterns favor a slightly cooler regime. Updated model cycles and any observed shifts in sea-surface temperatures or upper-level ridging over the coming 48 hours will be the key catalysts that could tip probabilities toward 19°C or 21°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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