Forecast model guidance from the ECMWF and regional centers like KNMI shows a mild early-July pattern for Amsterdam on July 6, 2026, with daytime maxima most likely in the 20–23°C range amid light westerly flow and variable cloud cover over the North Sea. Ensemble spreads highlight modest uncertainty from potential sunny breaks versus increased marine influence or northerly shifts that could cap readings near 20–21°C, keeping higher outcomes like 24°C+ at low probability. This aligns with climatological averages near 21–22°C for the period and recent short-range runs clustering tightly around these values. Updated model outputs and official briefings closer to the date will further refine resolution criteria based on the daily maximum observation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on July 6?
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$82,772 Wol.
$82,772 Wol.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
Yes
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$82,772 Wol.
$82,772 Wol.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Forecast model guidance from the ECMWF and regional centers like KNMI shows a mild early-July pattern for Amsterdam on July 6, 2026, with daytime maxima most likely in the 20–23°C range amid light westerly flow and variable cloud cover over the North Sea. Ensemble spreads highlight modest uncertainty from potential sunny breaks versus increased marine influence or northerly shifts that could cap readings near 20–21°C, keeping higher outcomes like 24°C+ at low probability. This aligns with climatological averages near 21–22°C for the period and recent short-range runs clustering tightly around these values. Updated model outputs and official briefings closer to the date will further refine resolution criteria based on the daily maximum observation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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