KNMI observations at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol, the official resolution source, confirm the highest temperature on May 6 reached 15°C during early afternoon hours, amid persistent overcast skies and light northerly winds suppressing daytime heating. This aligns with 24-48 hour forecast consensus from KNMI and ECMWF models projecting maxima of 12-16°C under a cool air mass steered by a Scandinavian high-pressure block, consistent with early May climatology averaging 15-16°C highs. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects real-time data validation as evening cools to 11-12°C; only an unlikely late sunbreak enabling rapid insolation before sunset around 21:15 could push readings to 16°C or higher, per ensemble model uncertainty ranges. Final KNMI daily summary expected shortly.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on May 6?
15°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$55,515 Wol.
$55,515 Wol.
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$55,515 Wol.
$55,515 Wol.
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 4, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
KNMI observations at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol, the official resolution source, confirm the highest temperature on May 6 reached 15°C during early afternoon hours, amid persistent overcast skies and light northerly winds suppressing daytime heating. This aligns with 24-48 hour forecast consensus from KNMI and ECMWF models projecting maxima of 12-16°C under a cool air mass steered by a Scandinavian high-pressure block, consistent with early May climatology averaging 15-16°C highs. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects real-time data validation as evening cools to 11-12°C; only an unlikely late sunbreak enabling rapid insolation before sunset around 21:15 could push readings to 16°C or higher, per ensemble model uncertainty ranges. Final KNMI daily summary expected shortly.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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