Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models position a daily high of 34–35°C as the most likely outcome for Ankara on August 22 under a stable high-pressure regime with clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover that maximizes daytime solar heating. These conditions align with typical late-summer climatology in the region, where maximum temperatures average near 32–34°C, though recent model runs show slight warming consistent with observed trends. The 63% market-implied probability on 35°C reflects trader consensus around this narrow range, while lower odds on 36°C or higher account for remaining forecast uncertainty and potential minor cooling from wind shifts. Updated model guidance and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings ahead of the 24-hour period will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Ankara on August 22?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 22?
35°C 63%
34°C 33%
36°C 5%
33°C 2%
NOWE
$11,572 Wol.
NOWE
$11,572 Wol.
Aug 22, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
33%
35°C
63%
36°C
5%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 63%
34°C 33%
36°C 5%
33°C 2%
NOWE
$11,572 Wol.
NOWE
$11,572 Wol.
Aug 22, 2026
30°C or below
$222 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$295 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$698 Wol.
<1%
33°C
$1,595 Wol.
2%
34°C
$2,098 Wol.
33%
35°C
$2,361 Wol.
63%
36°C
$1,244 Wol.
5%
37°C
$522 Wol.
<1%
38°C
$526 Wol.
<1%
39°C
$1,396 Wol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$614 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models position a daily high of 34–35°C as the most likely outcome for Ankara on August 22 under a stable high-pressure regime with clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover that maximizes daytime solar heating. These conditions align with typical late-summer climatology in the region, where maximum temperatures average near 32–34°C, though recent model runs show slight warming consistent with observed trends. The 63% market-implied probability on 35°C reflects trader consensus around this narrow range, while lower odds on 36°C or higher account for remaining forecast uncertainty and potential minor cooling from wind shifts. Updated model guidance and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings ahead of the 24-hour period will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$11,572Data zakończenia
Aug 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models position a daily high of 34–35°C as the most likely outcome for Ankara on August 22 under a stable high-pressure regime with clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover that maximizes daytime solar heating. These conditions align with typical late-summer climatology in the region, where maximum temperatures average near 32–34°C, though recent model runs show slight warming consistent with observed trends. The 63% market-implied probability on 35°C reflects trader consensus around this narrow range, while lower odds on 36°C or higher account for remaining forecast uncertainty and potential minor cooling from wind shifts. Updated model guidance and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings ahead of the 24-hour period will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$11,572Data zakończenia
Aug 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models position a daily high of 34–35°C as the most likely outcome for Ankara on August 22 under a stable high-pressure regime with clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover that maximizes daytime solar heating. These conditions align with typical late-summer climatology in the region, where maximum temperatures average near 32–34°C, though recent model runs show slight warming consistent with observed trends. The 63% market-implied probability on 35°C reflects trader consensus around this narrow range, while lower odds on 36°C or higher account for remaining forecast uncertainty and potential minor cooling from wind shifts. Updated model guidance and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings ahead of the 24-hour period will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania