National Weather Service forecasts peg today's high temperature in Austin at 87°F under partly sunny skies with light southerly winds following morning patchy fog, driving trader consensus to 100% on 68°F or higher as morning observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport already exceed 70°F overnight into early May 5. Typical May climatology features average highs near 86°F amid building summer warmth, reinforced by model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs showing no cooling influences like frontal passages or excessive cloud cover. Realistic challenges—a sudden marine layer surge or unexpected vorticity drop—remain improbable per upper-air diagnostics, with afternoon NWS updates likely to affirm the trajectory toward the mid-80s peak around 3-5 PM.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Austin on May 5?
68°F or higher 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$45,266 Wol.
$45,266 Wol.
49°F or below
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68°F or higher
Yes
68°F or higher 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$45,266 Wol.
$45,266 Wol.
49°F or below
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68°F or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
National Weather Service forecasts peg today's high temperature in Austin at 87°F under partly sunny skies with light southerly winds following morning patchy fog, driving trader consensus to 100% on 68°F or higher as morning observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport already exceed 70°F overnight into early May 5. Typical May climatology features average highs near 86°F amid building summer warmth, reinforced by model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs showing no cooling influences like frontal passages or excessive cloud cover. Realistic challenges—a sudden marine layer surge or unexpected vorticity drop—remain improbable per upper-air diagnostics, with afternoon NWS updates likely to affirm the trajectory toward the mid-80s peak around 3-5 PM.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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