Updated numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate increased cloud cover and scattered showers over Beijing on August 26, which are expected to limit solar insolation and suppress the daily maximum below late-August climatological averages near 30°C. These conditions introduce genuine forecast uncertainty around the precise peak, with variables such as precipitation timing, cloud thickness, and boundary-layer moisture potentially differentiating outcomes between 25–28°C. Recent surface observations show a modest cooling trend from earlier August heat, aligning trader consensus on the tightly matched 26°C and 27°C bins as the most probable range while leaving room for model revisions ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Beijing on August 26?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 26?
26°C 27%
27°C 26%
25°C 15%
28°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 26, 2026
20°C or below
2%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
13%
25°C
15%
26°C
27%
27°C
26%
28°C
13%
29°C
11%
30°C or higher
7%
26°C 27%
27°C 26%
25°C 15%
28°C 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 26, 2026
20°C or below
$15 Wol.
2%
21°C
$0 Wol.
1%
22°C
$0 Wol.
1%
23°C
$0 Wol.
1%
24°C
$0 Wol.
13%
25°C
$8 Wol.
15%
26°C
$6 Wol.
27%
27°C
$6 Wol.
26%
28°C
$0 Wol.
13%
29°C
$20 Wol.
11%
30°C or higher
$141 Wol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Updated numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate increased cloud cover and scattered showers over Beijing on August 26, which are expected to limit solar insolation and suppress the daily maximum below late-August climatological averages near 30°C. These conditions introduce genuine forecast uncertainty around the precise peak, with variables such as precipitation timing, cloud thickness, and boundary-layer moisture potentially differentiating outcomes between 25–28°C. Recent surface observations show a modest cooling trend from earlier August heat, aligning trader consensus on the tightly matched 26°C and 27°C bins as the most probable range while leaving room for model revisions ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$197Data zakończenia
Aug 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Updated numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate increased cloud cover and scattered showers over Beijing on August 26, which are expected to limit solar insolation and suppress the daily maximum below late-August climatological averages near 30°C. These conditions introduce genuine forecast uncertainty around the precise peak, with variables such as precipitation timing, cloud thickness, and boundary-layer moisture potentially differentiating outcomes between 25–28°C. Recent surface observations show a modest cooling trend from earlier August heat, aligning trader consensus on the tightly matched 26°C and 27°C bins as the most probable range while leaving room for model revisions ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$197Data zakończenia
Aug 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Updated numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate increased cloud cover and scattered showers over Beijing on August 26, which are expected to limit solar insolation and suppress the daily maximum below late-August climatological averages near 30°C. These conditions introduce genuine forecast uncertainty around the precise peak, with variables such as precipitation timing, cloud thickness, and boundary-layer moisture potentially differentiating outcomes between 25–28°C. Recent surface observations show a modest cooling trend from earlier August heat, aligning trader consensus on the tightly matched 26°C and 27°C bins as the most probable range while leaving room for model revisions ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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