Recent heat across South Florida, including Miami's record-tying 100°F reading earlier in the week, has elevated trader focus on whether atmospheric conditions will sustain or moderate highs near 90–93°F for August 23. Official NHC and NWS guidance, combined with ensemble model runs, highlight typical August factors such as high humidity, weak steering winds, and afternoon sea-breeze convergence that often trigger scattered thunderstorms capable of capping peak temperatures. With the climatological August high averaging 89°F yet recent observations showing warmer baselines, the near-even split between the 90–91°F and 92–93°F bins reflects uncertainty in convective timing and local boundary-layer details that can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°F. Updated short-range forecasts expected overnight will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Miami on August 23?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 23?
92-93°F 44%
90-91°F 39%
94-95°F 8%
88-89°F 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 23, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
39%
92-93°F
44%
94-95°F
8%
96-97°F
3%
98°F or higher
1%
92-93°F 44%
90-91°F 39%
94-95°F 8%
88-89°F 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 23, 2026
79°F or below
$167 Wol.
<1%
80-81°F
$167 Wol.
<1%
82-83°F
$87 Wol.
<1%
84-85°F
$354 Wol.
1%
86-87°F
$100 Wol.
2%
88-89°F
$404 Wol.
7%
90-91°F
$938 Wol.
39%
92-93°F
$263 Wol.
44%
94-95°F
$208 Wol.
8%
96-97°F
$80 Wol.
3%
98°F or higher
$55 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heat across South Florida, including Miami's record-tying 100°F reading earlier in the week, has elevated trader focus on whether atmospheric conditions will sustain or moderate highs near 90–93°F for August 23. Official NHC and NWS guidance, combined with ensemble model runs, highlight typical August factors such as high humidity, weak steering winds, and afternoon sea-breeze convergence that often trigger scattered thunderstorms capable of capping peak temperatures. With the climatological August high averaging 89°F yet recent observations showing warmer baselines, the near-even split between the 90–91°F and 92–93°F bins reflects uncertainty in convective timing and local boundary-layer details that can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°F. Updated short-range forecasts expected overnight will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$2,823Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heat across South Florida, including Miami's record-tying 100°F reading earlier in the week, has elevated trader focus on whether atmospheric conditions will sustain or moderate highs near 90–93°F for August 23. Official NHC and NWS guidance, combined with ensemble model runs, highlight typical August factors such as high humidity, weak steering winds, and afternoon sea-breeze convergence that often trigger scattered thunderstorms capable of capping peak temperatures. With the climatological August high averaging 89°F yet recent observations showing warmer baselines, the near-even split between the 90–91°F and 92–93°F bins reflects uncertainty in convective timing and local boundary-layer details that can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°F. Updated short-range forecasts expected overnight will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,823Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent heat across South Florida, including Miami's record-tying 100°F reading earlier in the week, has elevated trader focus on whether atmospheric conditions will sustain or moderate highs near 90–93°F for August 23. Official NHC and NWS guidance, combined with ensemble model runs, highlight typical August factors such as high humidity, weak steering winds, and afternoon sea-breeze convergence that often trigger scattered thunderstorms capable of capping peak temperatures. With the climatological August high averaging 89°F yet recent observations showing warmer baselines, the near-even split between the 90–91°F and 92–93°F bins reflects uncertainty in convective timing and local boundary-layer details that can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°F. Updated short-range forecasts expected overnight will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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