Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid’s daily minimum on August 24 will likely fall near 18–19 °C, aligning with the historical average low of 18.7 °C and producing the near-even split between “18 °C or below” (51 %) and “28 °C or higher” (48.5 %). A shift to southwesterly flow is introducing cooler maritime air and increased cloud cover after several days of clear, hot conditions, moderating overnight radiative cooling. Ensemble spreads in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed create the primary uncertainty: stronger mixing or lingering clouds could keep the minimum above 19 °C, while clearer skies and lighter winds would allow it to dip to 17 °C or lower. Updated model runs and AEMET guidance through the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Madrid on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Madrid on August 24?
28°C or higher 97%
18°C or below 51%
24°C 28%
25°C 28%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
18°C or below
51%
19°C
19%
20°C
15%
21°C
15%
22°C
15%
23°C
15%
24°C
28%
25°C
28%
26°C
28%
27°C
28%
28°C or higher
97%
28°C or higher 97%
18°C or below 51%
24°C 28%
25°C 28%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
18°C or below
$0 Wol.
51%
19°C
$0 Wol.
19%
20°C
$0 Wol.
15%
21°C
$0 Wol.
15%
22°C
$0 Wol.
15%
23°C
$4 Wol.
15%
24°C
$5 Wol.
28%
25°C
$5 Wol.
28%
26°C
$5 Wol.
28%
27°C
$5 Wol.
28%
28°C or higher
$5 Wol.
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid’s daily minimum on August 24 will likely fall near 18–19 °C, aligning with the historical average low of 18.7 °C and producing the near-even split between “18 °C or below” (51 %) and “28 °C or higher” (48.5 %). A shift to southwesterly flow is introducing cooler maritime air and increased cloud cover after several days of clear, hot conditions, moderating overnight radiative cooling. Ensemble spreads in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed create the primary uncertainty: stronger mixing or lingering clouds could keep the minimum above 19 °C, while clearer skies and lighter winds would allow it to dip to 17 °C or lower. Updated model runs and AEMET guidance through the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$29Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid’s daily minimum on August 24 will likely fall near 18–19 °C, aligning with the historical average low of 18.7 °C and producing the near-even split between “18 °C or below” (51 %) and “28 °C or higher” (48.5 %). A shift to southwesterly flow is introducing cooler maritime air and increased cloud cover after several days of clear, hot conditions, moderating overnight radiative cooling. Ensemble spreads in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed create the primary uncertainty: stronger mixing or lingering clouds could keep the minimum above 19 °C, while clearer skies and lighter winds would allow it to dip to 17 °C or lower. Updated model runs and AEMET guidance through the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$29Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid’s daily minimum on August 24 will likely fall near 18–19 °C, aligning with the historical average low of 18.7 °C and producing the near-even split between “18 °C or below” (51 %) and “28 °C or higher” (48.5 %). A shift to southwesterly flow is introducing cooler maritime air and increased cloud cover after several days of clear, hot conditions, moderating overnight radiative cooling. Ensemble spreads in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed create the primary uncertainty: stronger mixing or lingering clouds could keep the minimum above 19 °C, while clearer skies and lighter winds would allow it to dip to 17 °C or lower. Updated model runs and AEMET guidance through the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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