Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Buenos Aires' highest temperature reaching 23°C or higher on April 21 at Ministro Pistarini International Airport, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast projecting a daytime maximum of 23°C amid a warming high-pressure ridge following yesterday's cooler conditions around 19°C. Current observational data shows midday readings climbing past 21°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeast winds, consistent with model ensembles from global forecast systems indicating peak heating in the afternoon. Historical April climatology averages 22°C maxima, but today's synoptic setup favors the upper range. Realistic challenges include persistent cloud cover or isolated showers capping the high at 22°C, though SMN updates and hourly airport readings through evening carry low risk of such deviation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 21?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 21?
23°C or higher 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$85,043 Wol.
$85,043 Wol.
Apr 21, 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
Yes
23°C or higher 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$85,043 Wol.
$85,043 Wol.
Apr 21, 2026
13°C or below
$3,172 Wol.
No
14°C
$2,070 Wol.
No
15°C
$1,003 Wol.
No
16°C
$1,754 Wol.
No
17°C
$2,442 Wol.
No
18°C
$3,022 Wol.
No
19°C
$16,771 Wol.
No
20°C
$16,647 Wol.
No
21°C
$9,916 Wol.
No
22°C
$9,862 Wol.
No
23°C or higher
$18,384 Wol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Buenos Aires' highest temperature reaching 23°C or higher on April 21 at Ministro Pistarini International Airport, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast projecting a daytime maximum of 23°C amid a warming high-pressure ridge following yesterday's cooler conditions around 19°C. Current observational data shows midday readings climbing past 21°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeast winds, consistent with model ensembles from global forecast systems indicating peak heating in the afternoon. Historical April climatology averages 22°C maxima, but today's synoptic setup favors the upper range. Realistic challenges include persistent cloud cover or isolated showers capping the high at 22°C, though SMN updates and hourly airport readings through evening carry low risk of such deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 19, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Wolumen
$85,043Data zakończenia
Apr 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 19, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Buenos Aires' highest temperature reaching 23°C or higher on April 21 at Ministro Pistarini International Airport, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast projecting a daytime maximum of 23°C amid a warming high-pressure ridge following yesterday's cooler conditions around 19°C. Current observational data shows midday readings climbing past 21°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeast winds, consistent with model ensembles from global forecast systems indicating peak heating in the afternoon. Historical April climatology averages 22°C maxima, but today's synoptic setup favors the upper range. Realistic challenges include persistent cloud cover or isolated showers capping the high at 22°C, though SMN updates and hourly airport readings through evening carry low risk of such deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$85,043Data zakończenia
Apr 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 19, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Buenos Aires' highest temperature reaching 23°C or higher on April 21 at Ministro Pistarini International Airport, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast projecting a daytime maximum of 23°C amid a warming high-pressure ridge following yesterday's cooler conditions around 19°C. Current observational data shows midday readings climbing past 21°C under partly cloudy skies and light northeast winds, consistent with model ensembles from global forecast systems indicating peak heating in the afternoon. Historical April climatology averages 22°C maxima, but today's synoptic setup favors the upper range. Realistic challenges include persistent cloud cover or isolated showers capping the high at 22°C, though SMN updates and hourly airport readings through evening carry low risk of such deviation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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