Official observations from Argentina’s national meteorological service recorded a daily maximum of 10°C in Buenos Aires on June 14, 2026, aligning with the market’s 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. Mid-winter conditions featured stable high pressure, light northerly winds, and clear skies that limited daytime warming, keeping temperatures below the seasonal average high near 15–17°C. Forecast models had converged on this range days earlier, and post-event verification eliminated residual uncertainty around measurement thresholds or microclimate variations at official stations. A data revision or reanalysis uncovering an overlooked peak would be the only realistic path to altering the resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare for this location and date.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on June 14?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on June 14?
10°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$39,582 Wol.
$39,582 Wol.
Jun 14, 2026
5°C or below
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
Yes
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C or higher
No
10°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$39,582 Wol.
$39,582 Wol.
Jun 14, 2026
5°C or below
$170 Wol.
No
6°C
$489 Wol.
No
7°C
$1,557 Wol.
No
8°C
$3,248 Wol.
No
9°C
$3,647 Wol.
No
10°C
$5,904 Wol.
Yes
11°C
$5,187 Wol.
No
12°C
$4,936 Wol.
No
13°C
$6,150 Wol.
No
14°C
$5,356 Wol.
No
15°C or higher
$2,937 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Argentina’s national meteorological service recorded a daily maximum of 10°C in Buenos Aires on June 14, 2026, aligning with the market’s 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. Mid-winter conditions featured stable high pressure, light northerly winds, and clear skies that limited daytime warming, keeping temperatures below the seasonal average high near 15–17°C. Forecast models had converged on this range days earlier, and post-event verification eliminated residual uncertainty around measurement thresholds or microclimate variations at official stations. A data revision or reanalysis uncovering an overlooked peak would be the only realistic path to altering the resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare for this location and date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$39,582Data zakończenia
Jun 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Argentina’s national meteorological service recorded a daily maximum of 10°C in Buenos Aires on June 14, 2026, aligning with the market’s 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. Mid-winter conditions featured stable high pressure, light northerly winds, and clear skies that limited daytime warming, keeping temperatures below the seasonal average high near 15–17°C. Forecast models had converged on this range days earlier, and post-event verification eliminated residual uncertainty around measurement thresholds or microclimate variations at official stations. A data revision or reanalysis uncovering an overlooked peak would be the only realistic path to altering the resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare for this location and date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$39,582Data zakończenia
Jun 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official observations from Argentina’s national meteorological service recorded a daily maximum of 10°C in Buenos Aires on June 14, 2026, aligning with the market’s 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. Mid-winter conditions featured stable high pressure, light northerly winds, and clear skies that limited daytime warming, keeping temperatures below the seasonal average high near 15–17°C. Forecast models had converged on this range days earlier, and post-event verification eliminated residual uncertainty around measurement thresholds or microclimate variations at official stations. A data revision or reanalysis uncovering an overlooked peak would be the only realistic path to altering the resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are rare for this location and date.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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