Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 18°C as the highest temperature at Cape Town International Airport on April 28, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by the South African Weather Service (SAWS) latest forecast specifying a maximum of 18°C under partly cloudy skies, light morning winds shifting to moderate south-easterlies, and cool autumn conditions with minimums near 11°C. This aligns with short-range numerical weather prediction models showing limited solar insolation due to cloud cover and coastal influences suppressing highs above climatological April norms of 20–22°C. Realistic challenges include prolonged clearing skies boosting insolation or minor model biases, though official observations through evening will confirm, with resolution based on SAWS-recorded airport data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Cape Town on April 28?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 28?
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$20,100 Wol.
$20,100 Wol.
Apr 28, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$20,100 Wol.
$20,100 Wol.
Apr 28, 2026
12°C or below
$889 Wol.
No
13°C
$967 Wol.
No
14°C
$784 Wol.
No
15°C
$1,045 Wol.
No
16°C
$2,604 Wol.
No
17°C
$1,768 Wol.
No
18°C
$3,007 Wol.
Yes
19°C
$2,656 Wol.
No
20°C
$2,305 Wol.
No
21°C
$2,716 Wol.
No
22°C or higher
$1,359 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 18°C as the highest temperature at Cape Town International Airport on April 28, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by the South African Weather Service (SAWS) latest forecast specifying a maximum of 18°C under partly cloudy skies, light morning winds shifting to moderate south-easterlies, and cool autumn conditions with minimums near 11°C. This aligns with short-range numerical weather prediction models showing limited solar insolation due to cloud cover and coastal influences suppressing highs above climatological April norms of 20–22°C. Realistic challenges include prolonged clearing skies boosting insolation or minor model biases, though official observations through evening will confirm, with resolution based on SAWS-recorded airport data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 26, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
Wolumen
$20,100Data zakończenia
Apr 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 26, 2026, 12:38 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 18°C as the highest temperature at Cape Town International Airport on April 28, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by the South African Weather Service (SAWS) latest forecast specifying a maximum of 18°C under partly cloudy skies, light morning winds shifting to moderate south-easterlies, and cool autumn conditions with minimums near 11°C. This aligns with short-range numerical weather prediction models showing limited solar insolation due to cloud cover and coastal influences suppressing highs above climatological April norms of 20–22°C. Realistic challenges include prolonged clearing skies boosting insolation or minor model biases, though official observations through evening will confirm, with resolution based on SAWS-recorded airport data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$20,100Data zakończenia
Apr 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 26, 2026, 12:38 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 18°C as the highest temperature at Cape Town International Airport on April 28, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by the South African Weather Service (SAWS) latest forecast specifying a maximum of 18°C under partly cloudy skies, light morning winds shifting to moderate south-easterlies, and cool autumn conditions with minimums near 11°C. This aligns with short-range numerical weather prediction models showing limited solar insolation due to cloud cover and coastal influences suppressing highs above climatological April norms of 20–22°C. Realistic challenges include prolonged clearing skies boosting insolation or minor model biases, though official observations through evening will confirm, with resolution based on SAWS-recorded airport data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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