Trader consensus around 21°C as Cape Town’s daily maximum on June 17 reflects official South African Weather Service guidance and recent model runs showing clear skies, moderate southerly flow, and limited marine influence under a stable high-pressure ridge. This places the outcome slightly above the June climatological average of 17°C, driven by reduced cloud cover and downslope warming over the peninsula rather than broader seasonal anomalies. The South African Weather Service and global ensembles converge on a narrow range near this threshold, with minimal spread in afternoon readings. A late surge in onshore winds, unexpected coastal low development, or sensor calibration differences at official stations could shift the recorded high to 20°C or 22°C before market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Cape Town on June 17?
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$37,943 Wol.
$37,943 Wol.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$37,943 Wol.
$37,943 Wol.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 15, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus around 21°C as Cape Town’s daily maximum on June 17 reflects official South African Weather Service guidance and recent model runs showing clear skies, moderate southerly flow, and limited marine influence under a stable high-pressure ridge. This places the outcome slightly above the June climatological average of 17°C, driven by reduced cloud cover and downslope warming over the peninsula rather than broader seasonal anomalies. The South African Weather Service and global ensembles converge on a narrow range near this threshold, with minimal spread in afternoon readings. A late surge in onshore winds, unexpected coastal low development, or sensor calibration differences at official stations could shift the recorded high to 20°C or 22°C before market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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