**Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s highest temperature on June 30, 2026, centers on 15–16°C as the most probable outcomes, reflecting short-range forecast consensus amid a cooler-than-average winter pattern.** Cape Town’s Mediterranean winter climate typically delivers June daily maxima near 17°C, but recent cold fronts and a possible cut-off low have suppressed temperatures. Mid-to-late June saw multiple frontal passages delivering strong westerlies, scattered showers, and highs limited to 14–16°C, with one extended forecast explicitly projecting 14°C for June 30. These conditions align with the market’s heaviest weighting on 15°C (35.5%) and 16°C (21.0%), while lower outcomes (13–14°C) receive modest support from lingering cool air and higher readings remain low-probability given the stable post-frontal ridge. Upcoming official updates from the South African Weather Service and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum, with any late warming or clearing skies able to push readings toward 16–17°C. The implied probabilities thus capture both climatological winter baselines and the current synoptic setup favoring near-average or slightly below-average maxima.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Cape Town on June 30?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on June 30?
16°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$86,451 Wol.
$86,451 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$86,451 Wol.
$86,451 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
9°C or below
$2,981 Wol.
No
10°C
$11,985 Wol.
No
11°C
$7,045 Wol.
No
12°C
$1,864 Wol.
No
13°C
$5,941 Wol.
No
14°C
$17,869 Wol.
No
15°C
$16,142 Wol.
No
16°C
$8,005 Wol.
Yes
17°C
$5,357 Wol.
No
18°C
$7,852 Wol.
No
19°C or higher
$1,411 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s highest temperature on June 30, 2026, centers on 15–16°C as the most probable outcomes, reflecting short-range forecast consensus amid a cooler-than-average winter pattern.**
Cape Town’s Mediterranean winter climate typically delivers June daily maxima near 17°C, but recent cold fronts and a possible cut-off low have suppressed temperatures. Mid-to-late June saw multiple frontal passages delivering strong westerlies, scattered showers, and highs limited to 14–16°C, with one extended forecast explicitly projecting 14°C for June 30. These conditions align with the market’s heaviest weighting on 15°C (35.5%) and 16°C (21.0%), while lower outcomes (13–14°C) receive modest support from lingering cool air and higher readings remain low-probability given the stable post-frontal ridge.
Upcoming official updates from the South African Weather Service and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum, with any late warming or clearing skies able to push readings toward 16–17°C. The implied probabilities thus capture both climatological winter baselines and the current synoptic setup favoring near-average or slightly below-average maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 28, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$86,451Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 28, 2026, 1:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s highest temperature on June 30, 2026, centers on 15–16°C as the most probable outcomes, reflecting short-range forecast consensus amid a cooler-than-average winter pattern.**
Cape Town’s Mediterranean winter climate typically delivers June daily maxima near 17°C, but recent cold fronts and a possible cut-off low have suppressed temperatures. Mid-to-late June saw multiple frontal passages delivering strong westerlies, scattered showers, and highs limited to 14–16°C, with one extended forecast explicitly projecting 14°C for June 30. These conditions align with the market’s heaviest weighting on 15°C (35.5%) and 16°C (21.0%), while lower outcomes (13–14°C) receive modest support from lingering cool air and higher readings remain low-probability given the stable post-frontal ridge.
Upcoming official updates from the South African Weather Service and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum, with any late warming or clearing skies able to push readings toward 16–17°C. The implied probabilities thus capture both climatological winter baselines and the current synoptic setup favoring near-average or slightly below-average maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$86,451Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 28, 2026, 1:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
**Trader sentiment for Cape Town’s highest temperature on June 30, 2026, centers on 15–16°C as the most probable outcomes, reflecting short-range forecast consensus amid a cooler-than-average winter pattern.** Cape Town’s Mediterranean winter climate typically delivers June daily maxima near 17°C, but recent cold fronts and a possible cut-off low have suppressed temperatures. Mid-to-late June saw multiple frontal passages delivering strong westerlies, scattered showers, and highs limited to 14–16°C, with one extended forecast explicitly projecting 14°C for June 30. These conditions align with the market’s heaviest weighting on 15°C (35.5%) and 16°C (21.0%), while lower outcomes (13–14°C) receive modest support from lingering cool air and higher readings remain low-probability given the stable post-frontal ridge. Upcoming official updates from the South African Weather Service and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum, with any late warming or clearing skies able to push readings toward 16–17°C. The implied probabilities thus capture both climatological winter baselines and the current synoptic setup favoring near-average or slightly below-average maxima.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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