Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 18°C in Cape Town on May 1, 2026, reflecting confirmed observations from the Cape Town International Airport weather station (FACT), where automated sensors recorded a daytime peak of 18°C (64°F) under partly sunny skies with light southerly winds. This outcome aligns precisely with South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecasts predicting maximums near 18°C amid a stable high-pressure system typical for early autumn, suppressing temperatures below the monthly average of 20–22°C. While inherent uncertainties in microclimatic variations exist, realistic challenges to this positioning—such as rare post-analysis data revisions for sensor calibration—remain negligible following preliminary quality control. SAWS daily climate summary expected soon to finalize records.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 1?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 1?
18°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$34,063 Wol.
$34,063 Wol.
May 1, 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$34,063 Wol.
$34,063 Wol.
May 1, 2026
13°C or below
$1,136 Wol.
No
14°C
$1,708 Wol.
No
15°C
$747 Wol.
No
16°C
$7,710 Wol.
No
17°C
$2,956 Wol.
No
18°C
$5,718 Wol.
Yes
19°C
$3,025 Wol.
No
20°C
$2,626 Wol.
No
21°C
$1,993 Wol.
No
22°C
$3,289 Wol.
No
23°C or higher
$3,155 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 18°C in Cape Town on May 1, 2026, reflecting confirmed observations from the Cape Town International Airport weather station (FACT), where automated sensors recorded a daytime peak of 18°C (64°F) under partly sunny skies with light southerly winds. This outcome aligns precisely with South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecasts predicting maximums near 18°C amid a stable high-pressure system typical for early autumn, suppressing temperatures below the monthly average of 20–22°C. While inherent uncertainties in microclimatic variations exist, realistic challenges to this positioning—such as rare post-analysis data revisions for sensor calibration—remain negligible following preliminary quality control. SAWS daily climate summary expected soon to finalize records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Wolumen
$34,063Data zakończenia
May 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 18°C in Cape Town on May 1, 2026, reflecting confirmed observations from the Cape Town International Airport weather station (FACT), where automated sensors recorded a daytime peak of 18°C (64°F) under partly sunny skies with light southerly winds. This outcome aligns precisely with South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecasts predicting maximums near 18°C amid a stable high-pressure system typical for early autumn, suppressing temperatures below the monthly average of 20–22°C. While inherent uncertainties in microclimatic variations exist, realistic challenges to this positioning—such as rare post-analysis data revisions for sensor calibration—remain negligible following preliminary quality control. SAWS daily climate summary expected soon to finalize records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$34,063Data zakończenia
May 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 29, 2026, 12:11 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 18°C in Cape Town on May 1, 2026, reflecting confirmed observations from the Cape Town International Airport weather station (FACT), where automated sensors recorded a daytime peak of 18°C (64°F) under partly sunny skies with light southerly winds. This outcome aligns precisely with South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecasts predicting maximums near 18°C amid a stable high-pressure system typical for early autumn, suppressing temperatures below the monthly average of 20–22°C. While inherent uncertainties in microclimatic variations exist, realistic challenges to this positioning—such as rare post-analysis data revisions for sensor calibration—remain negligible following preliminary quality control. SAWS daily climate summary expected soon to finalize records.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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