Recent forecasts from European and global models show Madrid's July 24 maximum likely peaking near 34–35 °C, producing the tightest market clustering around those outcomes. Daytime boundary-layer heating, modest southwesterly flow, and limited cloud cover favor the higher end, while any increase in low-level moisture or residual morning stratus could cap readings at 34 °C. Urban heat-island effects in central Madrid add 1–2 °C locally, yet model spread in 2-meter temperature fields remains within typical 48-hour uncertainty ranges. Updated runs over the next 24 hours from the ECMWF and AEMET will be the key catalysts likely to shift implied probabilities between these adjacent bins.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Madrid on July 24?
Highest temperature in Madrid on July 24?
34°C 46%
35°C 32%
33°C 13%
36°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 24, 2026
30°C or below
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
3%
33°C
13%
34°C
46%
35°C
32%
36°C
7%
37°C
3%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
<1%
34°C 46%
35°C 32%
33°C 13%
36°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 24, 2026
30°C or below
$11 Wol.
1%
31°C
$5 Wol.
3%
32°C
$38 Wol.
3%
33°C
$18 Wol.
13%
34°C
$122 Wol.
46%
35°C
$258 Wol.
32%
36°C
$10 Wol.
7%
37°C
$10 Wol.
3%
38°C
$159 Wol.
2%
39°C
$35 Wol.
1%
40°C or higher
$5 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European and global models show Madrid's July 24 maximum likely peaking near 34–35 °C, producing the tightest market clustering around those outcomes. Daytime boundary-layer heating, modest southwesterly flow, and limited cloud cover favor the higher end, while any increase in low-level moisture or residual morning stratus could cap readings at 34 °C. Urban heat-island effects in central Madrid add 1–2 °C locally, yet model spread in 2-meter temperature fields remains within typical 48-hour uncertainty ranges. Updated runs over the next 24 hours from the ECMWF and AEMET will be the key catalysts likely to shift implied probabilities between these adjacent bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 22, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$671Data zakończenia
Jul 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 22, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European and global models show Madrid's July 24 maximum likely peaking near 34–35 °C, producing the tightest market clustering around those outcomes. Daytime boundary-layer heating, modest southwesterly flow, and limited cloud cover favor the higher end, while any increase in low-level moisture or residual morning stratus could cap readings at 34 °C. Urban heat-island effects in central Madrid add 1–2 °C locally, yet model spread in 2-meter temperature fields remains within typical 48-hour uncertainty ranges. Updated runs over the next 24 hours from the ECMWF and AEMET will be the key catalysts likely to shift implied probabilities between these adjacent bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$671Data zakończenia
Jul 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 22, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from European and global models show Madrid's July 24 maximum likely peaking near 34–35 °C, producing the tightest market clustering around those outcomes. Daytime boundary-layer heating, modest southwesterly flow, and limited cloud cover favor the higher end, while any increase in low-level moisture or residual morning stratus could cap readings at 34 °C. Urban heat-island effects in central Madrid add 1–2 °C locally, yet model spread in 2-meter temperature fields remains within typical 48-hour uncertainty ranges. Updated runs over the next 24 hours from the ECMWF and AEMET will be the key catalysts likely to shift implied probabilities between these adjacent bins.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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