Short-range forecast models from ECMWF and GFS show Paris overnight lows clustered around 14–16°C for July 24, driven by high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds that enhance radiative cooling after sunset. Historical July averages near 16°C provide context, yet day-to-day variability from cloud cover or urban heat island effects can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Trader consensus across the tightly bunched 13–15°C outcomes reflects model spread and the narrow resolution thresholds, with any late adjustment in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed likely to reprice the market before the official Météo-France reading.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Paris on July 24?
Lowest temperature in Paris on July 24?
14°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$17,515 Wol.
$17,515 Wol.
Jul 24, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$17,515 Wol.
$17,515 Wol.
Jul 24, 2026
10°C or below
$468 Wol.
No
11°C
$822 Wol.
No
12°C
$1,220 Wol.
No
13°C
$1,993 Wol.
No
14°C
$6,832 Wol.
Yes
15°C
$2,011 Wol.
No
16°C
$1,618 Wol.
No
17°C
$1,164 Wol.
No
18°C
$588 Wol.
No
19°C
$416 Wol.
No
20°C or higher
$384 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecast models from ECMWF and GFS show Paris overnight lows clustered around 14–16°C for July 24, driven by high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds that enhance radiative cooling after sunset. Historical July averages near 16°C provide context, yet day-to-day variability from cloud cover or urban heat island effects can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Trader consensus across the tightly bunched 13–15°C outcomes reflects model spread and the narrow resolution thresholds, with any late adjustment in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed likely to reprice the market before the official Météo-France reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$17,515Data zakończenia
Jul 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecast models from ECMWF and GFS show Paris overnight lows clustered around 14–16°C for July 24, driven by high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds that enhance radiative cooling after sunset. Historical July averages near 16°C provide context, yet day-to-day variability from cloud cover or urban heat island effects can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Trader consensus across the tightly bunched 13–15°C outcomes reflects model spread and the narrow resolution thresholds, with any late adjustment in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed likely to reprice the market before the official Météo-France reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$17,515Data zakończenia
Jul 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Short-range forecast models from ECMWF and GFS show Paris overnight lows clustered around 14–16°C for July 24, driven by high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds that enhance radiative cooling after sunset. Historical July averages near 16°C provide context, yet day-to-day variability from cloud cover or urban heat island effects can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. Trader consensus across the tightly bunched 13–15°C outcomes reflects model spread and the narrow resolution thresholds, with any late adjustment in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed likely to reprice the market before the official Météo-France reading.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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