Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature near 9–10°C for Wellington on July 26, driven by southerly airflow advecting cooler maritime air and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This aligns with NIWA’s seasonal outlook for near- or below-average July temperatures amid established El Niño conditions in the Pacific. Wellington’s winter climatology features average highs of 12°C, but persistent fresh-to-strong winds and potential showers further suppress peaks, positioning 10°C as the market leader while leaving room for 11°C if clearing occurs. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on July 26?
Highest temperature in Wellington on July 26?
10°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$75,529 Wol.
$75,529 Wol.
Jul 26, 2026
4°C or below
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
Yes
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C or higher
No
10°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$75,529 Wol.
$75,529 Wol.
Jul 26, 2026
4°C or below
$5,437 Wol.
No
5°C
$299 Wol.
No
6°C
$647 Wol.
No
7°C
$1,592 Wol.
No
8°C
$2,806 Wol.
No
9°C
$12,899 Wol.
No
10°C
$20,395 Wol.
Yes
11°C
$17,978 Wol.
No
12°C
$8,944 Wol.
No
13°C
$3,520 Wol.
No
14°C or higher
$1,013 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature near 9–10°C for Wellington on July 26, driven by southerly airflow advecting cooler maritime air and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This aligns with NIWA’s seasonal outlook for near- or below-average July temperatures amid established El Niño conditions in the Pacific. Wellington’s winter climatology features average highs of 12°C, but persistent fresh-to-strong winds and potential showers further suppress peaks, positioning 10°C as the market leader while leaving room for 11°C if clearing occurs. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$75,529Data zakończenia
Jul 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature near 9–10°C for Wellington on July 26, driven by southerly airflow advecting cooler maritime air and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This aligns with NIWA’s seasonal outlook for near- or below-average July temperatures amid established El Niño conditions in the Pacific. Wellington’s winter climatology features average highs of 12°C, but persistent fresh-to-strong winds and potential showers further suppress peaks, positioning 10°C as the market leader while leaving room for 11°C if clearing occurs. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$75,529Data zakończenia
Jul 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature near 9–10°C for Wellington on July 26, driven by southerly airflow advecting cooler maritime air and increased cloud cover that limits daytime heating. This aligns with NIWA’s seasonal outlook for near- or below-average July temperatures amid established El Niño conditions in the Pacific. Wellington’s winter climatology features average highs of 12°C, but persistent fresh-to-strong winds and potential showers further suppress peaks, positioning 10°C as the market leader while leaving room for 11°C if clearing occurs. Updated model runs and official guidance over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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